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asentance's profile
Andrew Sentance
Andrew Sentance
Andrew Sentance
@asentance

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Andrew Sentance

@asentance

Business economist, now with PwC, formerly member of Bank of England MPC. Also a guitarist, organist and songwriter.

Broxbourne, Herts
andrewsentance.com
Joined July 2011

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    Andrew Sentance‏ @asentance 1 Feb 2015

    If Greece now "insolvent" why was UK not "insolvent" in 1945? Public debt/GDP = 200%+ http://www.res.org.uk/view/article5jan12Correspondence.html … 25 yrs later was <70%!

    6:17 AM - 1 Feb 2015
    • 15 Retweets
    • 10 Likes
    • Irish Embassy Athens Paul Mason KeyYong Park GVCH Destinations Athlone Rachel Cinnamon Pete Domican DLX Greece Ioannis Zisis
    16 replies 15 retweets 10 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Roger E. A. Farmer‏ @farmerrf 1 Feb 2015
        Replying to @asentance

        .@asentance asks why UK is not Greece re insolvency http://www.res.org.uk/view/article5jan12Correspondence.html … 25 yrs later was <70%! Is that a serious question? @t0nyyates (1)

        1 reply 2 retweets 1 like
      3. Andrew Sentance‏ @asentance 1 Feb 2015
        Replying to @farmerrf

        @farmerrf @t0nyyates Pro-growth policy agenda for Greece: supply-side & public sector reform + tackling tax avoidance & corruption.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Roger E. A. Farmer‏ @farmerrf 1 Feb 2015
        Replying to @asentance

        .@asentance: @farmerrf @t0nyyates "Pro-growth policy agenda for Greece" Necessary but not sufficient.

        2 replies 2 retweets 0 likes
      5. Andrew Sentance‏ @asentance 1 Feb 2015
        Replying to @farmerrf

        @farmerrf @t0nyyates Small open economies like Greece have massive growth potential if they are competitive. But they will struggle if not.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. 2 more replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Tony Yates‏ @t0nyyates 1 Feb 2015
        Replying to @asentance

        @asentance We had the Marshall Plan, 'financial repression' [exaggerated/regulated demand for bonds], and inflation.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Andrew Sentance‏ @asentance 1 Feb 2015
        Replying to @t0nyyates

        @t0nyyates Your economic history is wrong. UK grew itself out of its post-war debt problems. Greece can do same through supply-side reform.

        6 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
      4. Danny Blanchflower‏Verified account @D_Blanchflower 1 Feb 2015
        Replying to @asentance

        @asentance @t0nyyates why would supply side reform make any difference when there is an inadequacy of aggregate demand? Cut benefits?

        4 replies 1 retweet 1 like
      5. Tony Yates‏ @t0nyyates 1 Feb 2015
        Replying to @D_Blanchflower

        @D_Blanchflower @asentance they cd be deflationary anyway right now, as per nk models. i know neither of you buy them, but there you go.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. Danny Blanchflower‏Verified account @D_Blanchflower 1 Feb 2015
        Replying to @t0nyyates

        @t0nyyates @asentance i agree cutting benefits would be deflationary

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Dan Davies‏ @dsquareddigest 2 Feb 2015
        Replying to @asentance

        .@asentance "solvency" for a sovereign just means the limits of political possibility to make overseas transfers. Very different cases.

        1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
      3. Peter Clay‏ @eyebrowsofpower 2 Feb 2015
        Replying to @dsquareddigest

        @dsquareddigest @asentance "political possibility to make overseas transfers" == what we were taught at school about T of Versailles?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Dan Davies‏ @dsquareddigest 2 Feb 2015
        Replying to @eyebrowsofpower

        @eyebrowsofpower @asentance I don't know what you were taught at school but probably yes

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Dan Davies‏ @dsquareddigest 2 Feb 2015
        Replying to @asentance

        .@asentance your point is very very relevant with respect to people talking the same kind of lines about Ireland though

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Martin Baccardax‏ @mdbaccardax 2 Feb 2015
        Replying to @dsquareddigest

        @dsquareddigest @asentance Surely currency sovereignty tops the list of differences b/t UK, Greek or Irish solvency?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Dan Davies‏ @dsquareddigest 2 Feb 2015
        Replying to @mdbaccardax

        @mdbaccardax @asentance see your point, but the differences between Ireland and UK much less significant than between either and Greece

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Martin Baccardax‏ @mdbaccardax 2 Feb 2015
        Replying to @dsquareddigest

        @dsquareddigest @asentance That's absolutely true: Inefficient/corrupt political infrastructure in Greece won't be solved by debt deals

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Dan Davies‏ @dsquareddigest 2 Feb 2015
        Replying to @asentance

        .@asentance you or I might wish that Greece in 2015 had as much political consensus and social solidarity as UK in 1945...

        1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes
      3. 1 more reply

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