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Andrew Schmitt
@aschmitt
Engineer, Cyclist, Political Optimist
California expat in NewEnglandcignal.aiJoined March 2008

Andrew Schmitt’s Tweets

$10 in server/network hardware assets for each user at $meta. These are depreciated numbers, around 20% a year now. Hardware intensity for Meta is increasing.
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Server and network asset per MAP is approaching $10 now, whopping ~26% increase YoY. "Social" networking isn't capital light.
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Aka stop thinking we are blowing tons of cash on the metaverse.
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$META CFO: "We expect capex to be in the range of $30-33B, lowered from our prior estimate of $34-37B. The reduced outlook reflects our updated plans for lower data center construction spend in 2023... Substantially all of our capex continues to support the Family of Apps"
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The most important thing to note is AMD is no longer supply constrained in Datacenter. Yes they grew somewhat but far less than they could have. Even with massive market share gains versus Intel, it's noteworthy that AMD didn't sell every server ship they could make.
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Presenters: Don't say "I'm standing between you and drinks." I've said it too. It's not that funny, and doesn't establish you as valuable. Say nothing, just do your thing. If you must, say something like "it's an honor to be asked to close this day."
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1/ A Google colleague recently observed to me that computer science tends to reinvent the wheel every 20 years: “a new generation just reimplements old ideas, but with more compute” What’s fascinating is this 20 year cycle seems to coincide with the timing of tech stock bubbles
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Microsoft $MSFT capex up 7% YoY in fiscal 2Q23. Flat QoQ with 1Q23. 1Q23 was up 8% YoY. So capex definitely deaccelerating but not collapsing. Hopefully we get a guide going into 2H23.
Prisoners Dilemma, except for channel stuffing.
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Bernstein: "[Intel knows] the channel is full, but seem to have decided that if there are parts on the shelf it might as well be their parts...Naturally this will hurt Intel as well, but as their economics are already in free fall perhaps they don't care as much anymore." Ouch.
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It takes 8-12 volunteers to evac someone injured. These people work without recognition. When asked what the most important skill is for a person going out on a rescue, Preisendorfer has a simple answer: “Don’t create more patients.”
2000 years from now they wont be looking at our datacenters
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The Roman Aqueduct, Segovia, Spain. An ancient feat of civil engineering, built without mortar almost 2,000 years ago, and used until the early 20th century. 📷: my own. #RomanSiteSaturday #Archaeology
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If you're going to do something this stupid, at least pick someone more fun than Sting.
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Microsoft, which announced layoffs on Wednesday, hosted a Sting concert in Davos the night before, said people familiar with the 50-person event for executives. Follow our live updates from Davos: on.wsj.com/3XLekxL
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400GbE module shipments also spiked, but we cut the 4Q forecast as inventory needs to be absorbed.
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Shipments of Datacom optical components recovered, led by @InnoLightTech and @CoherentCorp while @Lumentum resolved supply chain issues to grow telecom component revenue. cignal.ai/2023/01/datace
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Micron says data center component inventory is high at a time where demand is also softening.
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Micron CBO on inventory correction in data centers: "there has been a reduction in the growth in data center for 2023..whereas segments like PCs & smartphones have entered the inventory correction earlier in calendar '22, data center has been relatively late in entering..." $MU twitter.com/TheTranscript_…
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Space lasers!
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Tomorrow, SpaceX will launch the first Starlink Gen 2 mission. While the satellites on board are likely identical to those launched previously, the destination orbit is used only by the Gen 2 constellation. Full details from @Alexphysics13: nasaspaceflight.com/2022/12/spacex