I still think the initial flapping butterfly was the 2000 recount https://twitter.com/glennf/status/779134533065019396 …
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The plan to invade Iraq had already been written ten years ago by PNAC when 9/11 happened
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Bush WH probably would have been looking to provoke a shooting war with Saddam 02/03 timeframe regardless
End of conversation
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Bush without 9/11 though, would have been completely ineffectual. No way Iraq war would have been politically feasible.
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