This changes nothing and lockdown harder is idiotic. We all knew its be mid 2021 before vaccine readily available. This just confirms it. 8 more months of lockdown will be just as damaging as it was yesterday.
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Replying to @Reroot_Flyover @mattyglesias
If anything this confirms we should focus on protecting old/vulnerable and move on. They can lay low for 8 more months. Or 3 til they get it or whatever. We'll have 120M+ infections by then regardless.
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The evidence is in fact pretty strong that the percentage of the elderly in this country living in institutional group homes is high enough that no "lock down the elderly" policy can possibly work
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Replying to @arthur_affect @j_hibernicus and
Unless you can somehow enforce a lockdown on all the younger people who work there too (including their families), any "herd immunity" strategy is just sentencing all the nursing homes to death
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Exactly. Enforce a lockdown of those workers if needed (with appropriate relief). Why it needs to extend beyond that makes no sense. "Somehow enforce". We can't be sure we can entice and enforce a lockdown of this smaller pop. But we're sure we can with the entire pop.? Come on
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There are two terms you multiply together to see how effective a lockdown is, one of them being how strict the measures are and the other being how many people are doing it
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Unless the effectiveness of your measures is actually 100% or nearly so, the number of people doing it matters a whole lot
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