There are other possibilities, but none of them are "my AI gets infinitely smart" fin/
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Replying to @amolitor99 @merrickdeville and
The naive extrapolation of rates of change is so easy to dunk on It's like the xkcd joke about "Why I shouldn't be allowed to officiate weddings"
1 reply 3 retweets 16 likes -
Replying to @arthur_affect @amolitor99 and
"One minute ago you had zero husbands. Now you have one husband. So one minute from now you'll have two husbands Next year you'll have 525,600 husbands"
2 replies 1 retweet 21 likes -
Replying to @arthur_affect @amolitor99 and
Years ago, I saw an article saying that ten people had been eaten by alligators in Florida that year, compared to just one the year before. I noted that, at that rate of increase, it’d be less than a decade before everyone in the world had been eaten by alligators in Florida.
1 reply 2 retweets 17 likes -
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The thing to note is that these *aren't* "intelligent people who have been successful in the tech realm", for the most part. Yudkowsky is a high-school dropout who has literally never released a working piece of code. Scott Alexander is a psychiatrist.
2 replies 1 retweet 26 likes -
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Tech bros are incredibly gullible because they think that being good (assuming they are here for charity) at one field makes them good at another that they have zero experience in. That’s why they keep falling for stupid hype ideas.
3 replies 7 retweets 48 likes -
Replying to @ArsonAtDennys @notscottsiskind and
there's a proud history of Nobel Prize winners going off completely their rockers on some random bullshit until their death
2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes -
Replying to @MC_Spacebat @notscottsiskind and
Linus Pauling: 1954: wins Nobel Prize in chemistry 1962: wins Nobel Peace Prize 1965: reads "Niacin Therapy in Psychiatry" and quickly descends into utter quackery until his death, leaving behind a legacy of bullshit Vitamin C supplements and fake medicine
1 reply 1 retweet 10 likes
No they all just lied that Vitamin C doesn't cure cancer or polio because they didn't want him to also get the Nobel Prize in Medicine and achieve the trifecta
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