That's a *best case scenario*, like the goal is to fight like hell to keep it closer to that and not to 1 million
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And honestly if the states go ahead with their May reopening plans then the best case scenario is plateauing at that 200k point followed by a later bounce
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But yeah it's amazing to watch how shamelessly they've kept revising their milestones Originally it was supposed to top out at the 15 cases we already had ("You're gonna see it go very quickly down to zero")
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Now they've preemptively set up all these arbitrary milestones for what counts as "success" if the deaths stop before then and we keep whizzing by them in favor of new ones Very soon they'll turn 1 million into the new 200k the way 200k replaced 60k
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End of conversation
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Honestly, one of the thing that endlessly frustrate me is the 1-2 week delay that create a lot of wiggle room for professional bulshiters to obfuscate how the pandemic progress by pretending any correlations must be immediate.
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Given that the UK has had 26K deaths but 10% of the confirmed cases, it wouldnt surprise me whatsoever if the 'actual' number in the US was over 100K already
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I agree
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