Before we assess that: How does the economy fare if 1.8% of people die, 60% of the population is unable to work, and 20% have long-term damage? What's the economic effects of that?
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Replying to @RayTski @arthur_affect and
That's an excellent question and I wasn't trying to shirk it. The most important point is the 60% unable to work...
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
Obviously real-world responses should be modulated enough to ensure that doesn't happen ALL AT ONCE...
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
However, the rest is complicated. If some (much?) of the other bad stuff is doomed to happen ANYWAY...
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
Then, again, we need to subtract on both sides for the economic consequences OF the health consequences.
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
My honest opinion is that the right ultimate answer is bound to be different in different places.
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
Here in plush Australia, I think we stand a good chance of riding it out, largely indoors, without too great hardship.
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
Anyway, I see Arthur is continuing his unhinged shouting and swearing at me and is starting to get on my nerves.
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
I've abandoned talking to him for the night and I'll probably have to do the same with you. Sorry, I know I didn't cover everything...
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
The irony is I forgot I was replying to him in replying to something he'd retweeted. Live and learn! He's a real piece of work.
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I like how you talk like you're pretending you have a big sympathetic audience for your pro-virus bullshit, standing just out of frame
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