Maybe, but if so, it's for reasons largely unrelated to the stuff Chu is talking about.
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
One thing they might be thinking: prolonged lockdown risks an economic collapse so dire it would devastate us far more than coronavirus.
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @arthur_affect and
Again, you can think whatever you want, if it's not backed up by good reasons, it's not a well founded opinion.
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Replying to @RayTski @arthur_affect and
Henry Fitzgerald Retweeted Henry Fitzgerald
And it's not hard to see what possible reasons one might have for holding this position:https://twitter.com/HenryTarquin/status/1255810924604088320 …
Henry Fitzgerald added,
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
Others in this thread claim to know how deadly COVID-19 is to a percentage point or so. Let's assume they're right.
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
This means that the worst-case cost of COVID-19 directly is a relatively known quantity: 1.5% mortality (or whatever it is)...
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
Plus great unpleasantness for, let's say, 20% of survivors. Worst case: we all get it. That's a lot of death and a lot of pain.
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
On the other hand, the kind of economic collapse one might is less bounded. How bad is the "worst case" scenario? Harder to tell.
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Replying to @HenryTarquin @RayTski and
What the fuck are you talking about How the hell does a huge swathe of the population getting seriously sick and everyone knowing someone who's died horribly of the virus have only "bounded" economic effects compared to the "unbounded" ones of lockdown
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Replying to @arthur_affect @HenryTarquin and
In fact how does everyone's growing inescapable awareness that death is all around them not just lead to HAVING A LOCKDOWN ANYWAY Only, because of the delay between infection and symptoms, it happens too late to stop it
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Jesus Christ mass death - and widespread awareness and fear of mass death - NECESSARILY ENTAILS SHUTDOWN It is completely insane to argue otherwise, it requires forgetting everything you know about human nature
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Replying to @arthur_affect @HenryTarquin and
This is SO FUCKING STUPID Any horrible knock on effects you can imagine for the economy from lockdown before the mass deaths are just as if not more likely to happen during or after them
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Replying to @arthur_affect @HenryTarquin and
How STUPID do you have to be to think "Well, a bunch of people get horribly sick, a huge number of people die, and it's BACK TO WORK AT WAL-MART with no other economic effects" What the FUCK
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