Mutations are random. The survival of specific mutations in a species however are not. That’s why evolution isn’t random.
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Replying to @NathanielHart72 @Woman4W and
It *is* random. Not every negative change vanishes, not every positive change is preserved, and neutral changes happen regularly and also may or may not stick around.
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Replying to @Jewthulhu @NathanielHart72 and
The survival of specific mutations doesn’t stop being random just because the *chance* of that mutation surviving is partially reliant on whether or not it’s beneficial
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Replying to @Jewthulhu @Woman4W and
I don’t think you understand what the word random means.
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Replying to @NathanielHart72 @Woman4W and
“Random” doesn’t mean “coin flip” If one thing has a .9 probability of happing, it’s still random. If it has a .1 probability, it’s still random. Random doesn’t mean “equal chance of happening or not happening”.
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Replying to @Jewthulhu @Woman4W and
No, but it does mean that as time progresses, chances of a detrimental mutation remaining goes to 0, while the chance of a beneficial mutation remaining goes to 1.
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Replying to @NathanielHart72 @Jewthulhu and
Not a bit of it. Plenty of detrimental mutations don't actually affect reproductive fitness, so they don't go anywhere. Plenty of beneficial mutations have an energy cost that doesn't translate into increased reproductive fitness, so they disappear again.
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Replying to @iridienne @NathanielHart72 and
Even the idea that there's an objective definition of "detrimental" and "beneficial" that stays consistent over time is obviously projecting our values onto the uncaring universe
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Replying to @arthur_affect @iridienne and
Evolution is only even *possible* because there's a certain baseline level of diversity in alleles made possible by ongoing random mutations that stick around for long periods of time
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Replying to @arthur_affect @iridienne and
People get the timescale twisted in their heads, like the existence of the allele has to happen well before the actual event causing selection happens If it didn't happen until then it would be too late, there'd be nothing to select
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This concept was mocked by anti-Darwinians as "hopeful monsters" because, again, they didn't grasp the timescale involved (a fish egg hatches a lizard that starts to drown but makes it to land just time?!?)
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Replying to @arthur_affect @iridienne and
But that's what most mutations are like Oh, some humans are melanin deficient, and that's bad because skin cancer, but it's also kind of good because vitamin D, so it's a wash People start living indoors most of the time and skin cancer is now rare? Hey awesome
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