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arthur_affect's profile
Arthur Chu
Arthur Chu
Arthur Chu
Verified account
@arthur_affect

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Arthur ChuVerified account

@arthur_affect

Mad genius, comedian, actor, and freelance voiceover artist broadcasting from the distant shores of Lake Erie (he/him)

Broadview Heights, Ohio
arthur-chu.com
Joined August 2009

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    1. This simulation sucks‏ @bowdencol 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @caro_vina @nberlat @Nymphomachy

      He had been polling close to a tie till about the Clyburn endorsement. I think a point off margin of error. There's truth there, but also obvious media bias.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Caroline Small‏ @caro_vina 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @bowdencol @nberlat @Nymphomachy

      I don't think that's right. Monmouth and Clemson were before Clyburn and Biden had a huge lead. And everybody on the ground knew it anyway - Sanders had no momentum. He only went to places where he had support.https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/2/29/21154811/2020-south-carolina-primary-winner-polls …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. This simulation sucks‏ @bowdencol 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @caro_vina @nberlat @Nymphomachy

      I gotta be honest, given where the race is now, I'm not invested enough to go scrounging for old polls. I remember looking at polls referenced by *ugh* http://fivethirtyeight.com  at the time showing them close to a dead heat till about the time of the endorsement, maybe before.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Noah Berlatsky‏Verified account @nberlat 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @bowdencol @caro_vina @Nymphomachy

      polls before SC had Biden with a 5-30 point margin of victory. media mostly reported accurately that he was vastly favored to win but Sanders might keep it close.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. This simulation sucks‏ @bowdencol 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @nberlat @caro_vina @Nymphomachy

      They provided, which is their perogative, Biden with earned media AFTER having lost three contests in a row, and provided Sanders very little of it after winning. I mean, fine, again their perogative, but it's inherent to this primary election result.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Noah Berlatsky‏Verified account @nberlat 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @bowdencol @caro_vina @Nymphomachy

      Biden got tons of earned media *after SC* because he *had huge numbers of high profile people endorse him.* Sanders got defeated by Dem elected and by voters, who like their reps. the media was mostly stunned by the reversal.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    7. This simulation sucks‏ @bowdencol 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @nberlat @caro_vina @Nymphomachy

      Sanders lost because he got less votes. I understand that. I think denying the effect of the national media on the outcome is to deny reality. Doesn't mean Sanders and his campaign can't also take blame.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Noah Berlatsky‏Verified account @nberlat 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @bowdencol @caro_vina @Nymphomachy

      I just don't think it was the media that did for him. It was Dem endorsers. The party coalesced behind him after NV and esp after SC, in dramatic fashion, and that was the end of that.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    9. Vapor Weyve‏ @Nymphomachy 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @nberlat @caro_vina

      I mean one way or another the media certainly helped push the narrative that South Carolina was the only state in the union that mattered, go figure, the one state where absolutely nothing would have shaken Biden's stranglehold

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Noah Berlatsky‏Verified account @nberlat 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @Nymphomachy @caro_vina

      reporters focused much more on IA and NH. SC deserved more attention if anything.

      3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      Arthur Chu‏Verified account @arthur_affect 10 Apr 2020
      Replying to @nberlat @Nymphomachy @caro_vina

      Traditionally the Iowa caucus has had HUGE influence in the narrative weaving of the primary even though by multiple measures it's one of the least representative state contests in the country (being both Iowan and a caucus)

      10:27 PM - 10 Apr 2020
      • 1 Like
      • Noah Berlatsky
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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