Why the fuck would you assume there was a fixed size pneumonia pie? Why would such a thing exist? What would put that literally insane notion in your head, that there ever was a divinely enforced pneumonia maximum for any given year
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Replying to @arthur_affect @NancyARandazzo and
If there is a new source of infections that cause pneumonia, there will be more pneumonia The viruses and bacteria don't all have a big group meeting where they adjust their schedules to make sure they don't step on each other's territory
3 replies 3 retweets 48 likes -
Replying to @arthur_affect @NancyARandazzo and
This is another gross, wild lay misunderstanding of statistics, an application of the gambler's fallacy "The average person gets in a car accident once every 18 years, and I just got in one, so for now I can stop wearing my seatbelt"
3 replies 3 retweets 35 likes -
Replying to @arthur_affect @eaton and
There are literally lists of the top 10 causes of death. Respiratory illness is a top killer. Of course there are many ways to arrange causes of death, comparing a death rate would be helpful in deciding if the measures of shutting down the economy have gone too far.
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Replying to @NancyARandazzo @eaton and
No, it wouldn't, because it is a known fact, thanks to Louis Pasteur's germ theory and the examples of many, many pandemics in the past, that infectious disease is contagious and spreads exponentially
3 replies 1 retweet 28 likes -
Replying to @arthur_affect @NancyARandazzo and
the only way to be sure is to let one earth die and compare it to our safe earth
1 reply 1 retweet 9 likes -
Replying to @eaton @arthur_affect and
You’re silly
If you all hate that I would like to see if the current death rate is goingnup, in real time, because it’s macabre; all I’m asking for is a control group to interpret the hysteria that has us sheltering-in-place.
Ya’ll are salivating for a plague.4 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @NancyARandazzo @eaton and
The whole fucking point of sheltering-in-place is that, if it works, there won't be as many deaths. Perfect implementation of shelter-in-place will always look like an over-reaction if you're deciding whether it was justified based on the number of people actually dying.
1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes -
Replying to @MorganL666 @NancyARandazzo and
Also, a control to see if shelter-in-place was necessary would not compare last years pnemonia deaths (which didn't involve covid-19 or a shelter-in-place) to this years pnemonia deaths (which involve both Covid-19 & shelter-in-place). Controls change only 1 variable, not both
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Replying to @MorganL666 @NancyARandazzo and
A control would be comparing Covid-19 deaths in areas that do shelter-in-place to Covid-19 deaths in areas that do NOT shelter-in-place.
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
Her casual misuse of the term "control" just assumes that COVID-19 doesn't have any physical characteristics that make it different from other causes of pneumonia even though we already know for a fact that it does
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Replying to @arthur_affect @MorganL666 and
As part of her general resistance to believing in germ theory at all, apparently ("Germs are just one factor in making you sick" etc)
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