Not a problem for me, because like many Americans, I believe I already had it, and I won’t know until an antibody test becomes available.
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Replying to @NunesTears @familyunequal
I genuinely don’t understand. If we’ve tested 500,000 people in the USA, and 25% are coming back positive (PCR testing) why is it unreasonable to believe that just as many already had the disease, and recovered?
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Because they're not testing a randomized sample of the whole population, you fucking dunce, the shortage of test kits means we only test people we already think might be infected
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We’ve tested 1/2 million people you nitwit.
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Replying to @NancyARandazzo @arthur_affect and
You don't understand what a sampling bias is at all, do you. Look, those 500k? They're people who are suspected of being contaminated. Either they're showing symptoms, or they've been in contact with people who have.
1 reply 2 retweets 34 likes -
Replying to @TheWeaseKing @NancyARandazzo and
Therefore, they *do not* statistically represent the 330 MILLION people of the country the way a random sample would. That 25% infected? Is of people who are already considered *likely to be infected*.
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Replying to @TheWeaseKing @arthur_affect and
It doesn’t need reflect the population to in order to demonstrate that we’re not seeing the fatality rate anticipated. If it’s HALF A MILLION and there is no increase in the normal rate of death among that group, it’s enough. Mortality is measured per 100,000
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Replying to @NancyARandazzo @TheWeaseKing and
If mostly sick people die, we should expect 25% of those people who would dying anyway to be testing positive. RIP my human friends who have always been departing us without much attention. That’s why we should see if we are having an increase in the already normal death rate.
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Replying to @NancyARandazzo @TheWeaseKing and
Jesus fucking Christ being over the age of 60 or having asthma doesn't mean you "would have died anyway" you sick fucking ghoul Everyone dies eventually but they wouldn't have all died at once in early 2020
1 reply 6 retweets 74 likes
And, newsflash, if you could somehow wave a magic wand and make it so everyone who was going to die in 2020 died in the same few weeks in 2020 THAT WOULD INCREASE THE DEATH RATE Because you'd overwhelm the medical system for everyone else
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Replying to @arthur_affect @NancyARandazzo and
Yeah. Even for COVID-19 itself, the fatality rate would go from 1-4% to perhaps 15-20% just due to the lack of oxygen / ventilators for people that cannot breathe due to severe / critical illness.
0 replies 0 retweets 2 likesThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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