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arthur_affect's profile
Arthur Chu
Arthur Chu
Arthur Chu
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@arthur_affect

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Arthur ChuVerified account

@arthur_affect

Mad genius, comedian, actor, and freelance voiceover artist broadcasting from the distant shores of Lake Erie (he/him)

Broadview Heights, Ohio
arthur-chu.com
Joined August 2009

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    Arthur Chu‏Verified account @arthur_affect 11 Mar 2020

    Arthur Chu Retweeted Krystal Ball

    This multi-stage game theory headache stuff is literally why they made up the "galaxy brain" meme I'd really rather assume, to a first order approximation, people vote for what they want to happenhttps://twitter.com/krystalball/status/1237574423982424064 …

    Arthur Chu added,

    Krystal BallVerified account @krystalball
    That’s why even though M4A and GND are overwhelmingly popular, voters choose Biden because they believe they must appease those finicky moderates. Progressives and leftists can be endlessly shit on (compared to nazis called toxic etc) bc they assume we will still vote blue anyway
    Show this thread
    9:09 AM - 11 Mar 2020
    • 10 Retweets
    • 65 Likes
    • Sam Wood Kaworu from LA Alex P 👹 Paul Weimer 📷🚀🚀💉💉 Infinite Social Justice 🏳️‍🌈🇵🇷 A Vaxxed Eskimo Spy walks into a bar Horrible Checkers Lad Appreciator Evelyn Éowyn a catherine scorned
    8 replies 10 retweets 65 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Arthur Chu‏Verified account @arthur_affect 11 Mar 2020

        People just... can't deal with actually being unpopular, huh The question of "How do you convince people they're actually wrong and I'm right" remains this unsolvable thing no one wants to look in the face

        1 reply 0 retweets 37 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Arthur Chu‏Verified account @arthur_affect 11 Mar 2020

        *Everyone* prefers to believe "People really secretly agree with me but they're just afraid to say so or act on it"

        6 replies 2 retweets 32 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Sources Close to Tom Roberts‏ @TPGRoberts 11 Mar 2020
        Replying to @arthur_affect

        That doesn't square with policies Biden has soundly rejected: M4A, College Tuition coming out with leads in the same exit polls he won. Bernie even wins on "most policies I agree with." People just genuinely believe Biden is more likely to beat Trump (per the same polls above)

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. Alex Hazanov.‏ @alexhazanov 11 Mar 2020
        Replying to @TPGRoberts @arthur_affect

        The problem is that M4A or free college mean lots of different things to different people.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Steve - Moderna Bottom 🏳️‍🌈‏ @GayRubberSteve 11 Mar 2020
        Replying to @arthur_affect

        So are people lying in polling? Or lying in their voting? People are complex. They are as likely to vote for against their fears, as much as for their desires.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Dirk Lester  😷  🇺🇸 🇬🇧 🇫🇷‏ @Dirk2112 11 Mar 2020
        Replying to @GayRubberSteve @arthur_affect

        In all seriousness "lying" is just the wrong word. It's more that the data cited is being wildly over-interpreted. Like there's widespread confusion over what exactly "M4A" means, it's inferred to describe everything from Single Payer to a Public Option added to the ACA+

        2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. ArcaneSyntax‏ @Arcane_Syntax 11 Mar 2020
        Replying to @arthur_affect

        Also like, ths popularity of these prosposals varies wildly on how you ask about them. Most people dont even know what m4all even is or what bernies plan entails.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Mark W. Schumann‏ @MarkWSchumann 11 Mar 2020
        Replying to @Arcane_Syntax @arthur_affect

        Serious question: has Bernie exactly said what M4A is? In more detail than this? https://berniesanders.com/issues/medicare-for-all/ …

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Matt Whitehead‏ @MJWhitehead 11 Mar 2020
        Replying to @arthur_affect

        Assuming voters always vote for what they actually want, or even their best understanding of what they want, is some pre-101 level political science, my dude. That's not to say you can't argue yourself in circles to justify your own views, ofc.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Matt Whitehead‏ @MJWhitehead 11 Mar 2020
        Replying to @MJWhitehead @arthur_affect

        What Krystal is talking about is actually a phenomenon observed so often in elections, especially FPP or plurality ones, that it is captured under multiple terms of art- usually "favourite betrayal" or "(non-)monotonicity."https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monotonicity_criterion …

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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