Well that's the thing, the "vote-splitting" theorists weren't completely right either The Bernie supporters who were sure Harris, Buttigieg, Booker, Yang, etc were all taking some percentage of votes from Bernie weren't wrong, because voters don't sort into neat boxeshttps://twitter.com/Amber_mom_/status/1235067995707363328 …
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Also important to know a lot of people just dont vote in primaries if their main choice drops out. Its not like all of those voters necessarily choose another candidate
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Bernie seriously underestimated the extent to which his 2016 support was anti-Hillary protest voters that by 2020 were happy with some other candidate or had quit the party entirely
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A big part of this, also, is the extraordinary age gaps in the primary. If you're under 40, your peers are almost all voting Sanders or Warren. If you're over 60, almost everyone is voting Biden. That means both Sanders and Warrens' voters only knew each other.
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So yeah, that's where all the action is going to be. Where are you going to find Biden or Bloomberg voters to yell at?
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Anecdote but I where I work gets a lot of older and working class white people and the ones that are Democrat were all very pro-Biden. Bernie was seen as a crazy hippy that promised a bunch of things he could never deliver.
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And like, I don't talk politics because some of them are crazy ass red hats, but the ones I felt I could talk to I tried to talk away from Biden (to Warren or Sanders). They wouldn't budge. They didn't see Sanders actually being able to follow through on his promises.
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