Arena

Arizona is perhaps the most flippable state in the country. Both U.S. Senators, the Governor, the Attorney General, and both houses of the state legislature are controlled by the GOP. And other than the Senate seat held by McCain, Dems can flip each of those chambers and seats.

The fundamentals for Democrats look strong. A recent Politico/AARP poll had Democrats ahead by seven points in generic ballots for Governor and U.S. Senate. An NBC News/Marist poll from June found that 59% of registered voters wanted to replace the current Governor.

And the GOP’s state legislative majorities are thin compared to most states -- at 17/30 seats for the State Senate and 35/60 seats for the State House.