First, this news headline is wrong They read our excellent review, and took a quote from a single article (joint WHO/China commission) out of our entire review for the headline Children almost certainly DO transmit COVID-19 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8271703/Experts-single-child-10-passed-coronavirus-adult.html … 2/6
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This report on viral transmission is based on a (currently) very flawed study (unpublished but online) https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/30/coronavirus-scientists-caution-against-reopening-schools … I will explain why. Firstly it did not report the population sampled for testing - if they are all unwell, very different to population screening 3/6
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Second, they analysed age by arbitrary categories, not as a continuous variable. This is a big no no - loses statistical power. But wait - somewhere in the paper they did a Kruskal-wallis test. What did they find? A SIGNIFICANT correlation of viral load with age (p=0.01) 4/6pic.twitter.com/QJdEv8ZSLl
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The paper is basically un-interpretable as it stands without knowing the population, but it certainly DOES NOT show children have the same viral load as adults. Could it be the case? Who knows. This certainly doesn't suggest so. 5/6
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So where do we stand? We don't know for sure but growing evidence suggests children are less susceptible to infection, have milder infection, and are infrequently responsible for household transmission. See more here. https://dontforgetthebubbles.com/evidence-summary-paediatric-covid-19-literature/ … End. 6/6
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You must be a Brit; "very stressful for me" has to be an understatement. I can't think of anything in my professional life that would cause me MORE stress than having my work weaponized by agenda driven dopes.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Have you been able to dig into the underlying data from this French /Pasteur Institute study centred around a school, the children, teachers, non teaching staff and parents?https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.18.20071134v1 …
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Almost every single child was 15 or older
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Very succinct and informative
@apsmunro thank you -
I might be unintelligent but I am none the wiser.
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