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apsmunro's profile
Alasdair Munro
Alasdair Munro
Alasdair Munro
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@apsmunro

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Alasdair MunroVerified account

@apsmunro

Paediatric Registrar | Clinical Research Fellow Paediatric Infectious Diseases @southamptonCRF | Lead Fellow @covboost Trial | Husband and dad | No £COI

United Kingdom
dontforgetthebubbles.com/evidence-summa…
Joined April 2013

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    Alasdair Munro‏Verified account @apsmunro 30 Apr 2020

    A quick thread to clear up some MAJOR misunderstandings about COVID-19 in children in the press, which have made today very stressful for me. 1/6

    8:08 AM - 30 Apr 2020
    • 393 Retweets
    • 630 Likes
    • David Abner Melanie kevin Matt Smedley Andria Krewson WernerTrapmann @EU27k #PECS @NowTheCitizens Goldammer Elizabeth #NumbersRuleTheWorld
    18 replies 393 retweets 630 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Alasdair Munro‏Verified account @apsmunro 30 Apr 2020

        First, this news headline is wrong They read our excellent review, and took a quote from a single article (joint WHO/China commission) out of our entire review for the headline Children almost certainly DO transmit COVID-19 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8271703/Experts-single-child-10-passed-coronavirus-adult.html … 2/6

        4 replies 125 retweets 217 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Alasdair Munro‏Verified account @apsmunro 30 Apr 2020

        This report on viral transmission is based on a (currently) very flawed study (unpublished but online) https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/30/coronavirus-scientists-caution-against-reopening-schools … I will explain why. Firstly it did not report the population sampled for testing - if they are all unwell, very different to population screening 3/6

        2 replies 25 retweets 76 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Alasdair Munro‏Verified account @apsmunro 30 Apr 2020

        Second, they analysed age by arbitrary categories, not as a continuous variable. This is a big no no - loses statistical power. But wait - somewhere in the paper they did a Kruskal-wallis test. What did they find? A SIGNIFICANT correlation of viral load with age (p=0.01) 4/6pic.twitter.com/QJdEv8ZSLl

        6 replies 20 retweets 83 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Alasdair Munro‏Verified account @apsmunro 30 Apr 2020

        The paper is basically un-interpretable as it stands without knowing the population, but it certainly DOES NOT show children have the same viral load as adults. Could it be the case? Who knows. This certainly doesn't suggest so. 5/6

        1 reply 23 retweets 96 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Alasdair Munro‏Verified account @apsmunro 30 Apr 2020

        So where do we stand? We don't know for sure but growing evidence suggests children are less susceptible to infection, have milder infection, and are infrequently responsible for household transmission. See more here. https://dontforgetthebubbles.com/evidence-summary-paediatric-covid-19-literature/ … End. 6/6

        12 replies 95 retweets 261 likes
        Show this thread
      7. End of conversation
      1. UrbanMeyersFamily‏ @UrbansFamily 30 Apr 2020
        Replying to @apsmunro

        You must be a Brit; "very stressful for me" has to be an understatement. I can't think of anything in my professional life that would cause me MORE stress than having my work weaponized by agenda driven dopes.

        0 replies 0 retweets 73 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. New conversation
      2. Fionna O'Leary,  🕯 🇪🇺‏ @fascinatorfun 30 Apr 2020
        Replying to @apsmunro

        Have you been able to dig into the underlying data from this French /Pasteur Institute study centred around a school, the children, teachers, non teaching staff and parents?https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.18.20071134v1 …

        1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes
      3. Alasdair Munro‏Verified account @apsmunro 30 Apr 2020
        Replying to @fascinatorfun

        Almost every single child was 15 or older

        1 reply 1 retweet 14 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Andrew Michael South, MD, MS‏ @asouth_neph 30 Apr 2020
        Replying to @apsmunro

        Very succinct and informative @apsmunro thank you

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Worzel Gummidge Salus Populi Suprema Lex‏ @organicsi 1 May 2020
        Replying to @asouth_neph @apsmunro

        I might be unintelligent but I am none the wiser.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation

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