The developers say they can't maximise paperclips, they can only maximise some estimate of future paperclips. And even that estimate is a probability distribution.
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So I put in my BRD that the product should maximise the expected value of the number of future paperclips, but they said something I didn't understand about fat tails and unstable estimates.
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Do we want to maximise the expected value of the number of paperclips, or the expected value of the logarithm of the number of paperclips? Boss is worried the former will lead to excessively risky "long shot" strategies.
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@threadreaderapp unroll please -
Hello please find the unroll here: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/950727529404432385.html … Share it if you think it's great. Bye bye.
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