Predicting Apple’s success based on their past performance is just as fallacious as predicting product failures based on past products.
Conversation
They certainly have a well-deserved reputation for success, but that doesn't make the argument inherently more sound.
3
it is not a mathematical proof.
1
1
predictions are at best educated estimates.
1
1
Replying to
there is a framework for determining the merit of predictions and it is called epistemology
Replying to
And, unfortunately, most commentary lacks it. I don't mind well-informed pessimism or optimism.
1
Replying to
not sure epistemology is related to predictions. Btw epistimi is Greek for science.
1
no, it's about the explanatory frameworks which underlie predictiobs
1



