In the US, deaths actually surpassed births from 12/2020 - 03/2021! flowingdata.com/2022/02/03/whe
Quite a stark way to look at the impact of the pandemic (as well as declining birth rates). I definitely wouldn't have guessed these lines crossed.
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The CDC database this plot used only goes back to '95, but I wonder at what other times in US history the line crossed. I'd guess in WW2… but probably not during the Vietnam War or WW1? During the 1918 flu epidemic? The Depression?
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Interestingly, even without the pandemic, the trend is such that it looks like the lines would (barely) cross sometimes in the winter in the 2020's.
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Huh. I wonder what's the cause for these valleys of deaths during winters. Seems ubiquitous. Similarly death peaks during summer valleys... Also the strong inverse correlation between number of deaths/births
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On the seasonality of death (circulatory and respiratory disease are exacerbated by low temperatures): link.springer.com/chapter/10.100
Sounds like seasonality of birth varies across countries / cultures:
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I think this would make for a really interesting slow-reveal graph!
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WHOA! I love this one! I’m not doing work against until after kid bedtime, but putting this on my to do list. Thanks :)
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🤯 Would also be interesting to see as a percentage of population rather than absolute numbers.
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What is that second, smaller spike in deaths every year? I get one spike, but two?
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also curious… there’s a chance it might be some reporting artifact - maybe even related to short Februaries? - as the same 2-hump winter pattern for 2018-2019 not blatant in another chart of mortality by week at: cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr
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