Waiting on today's SF covid numbers.
Up by ~10x since Dec 1, up by ~4x over the last week.
The good news: I think Paxlovid ramp up + other therapies + past & future vaccines means this is the last surge that will cause a really substantial shut down in SF.
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It's really a wild rate of growth. Relatedly, I got very surprised by the next graph down (at least on sf.gov/data): I first read it assuming orange = vaccinated, since we're at >90%—but no! Orange = unvaccinated! 2x the rate in that pop even though outnumbered 10:1!
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isn’t that a rate per 100k? in that case, it mainly shows vax effectiveness vs cases only ~50%… or less if vax differentially creates sufficient mildness people never test (or just don’t bother to followup positive home tests with something that shows up in official stats)
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Ah, you're totally right. Wasn't in the plot graphic itself, so I missed that detail. But the preceding paragraphs say it's /100k.
OK, in that case, I'm surprised that the vaccinated are only getting infected at half the rate! Probably a lot of folks need boosters?
that’s what the slow-to-update authorities would say! I suspect that’s a premature emphasis, simply because it’s something easy to reco as a pacifier – much like early emphasis on handwashing.
(for young & healthy - a mild Omicron breakthrough might be as good as a booster.)
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