starting to think we need a new vocabulary for clearly defining depth of research. the fact that years of focused study and a cursory google search are both broadly characterized as "research" is a communication nightmare
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I love this. A flexible yet useful (even self-aware?) linguistic concept!
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Makes me think of how different probability statements in Dutch (ranging from impossible to definitely) are interpreted differently by people.
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Oh this is great. Perfect citation for what I call "the purview model" borisanthony.net/writing/the-pu Thanks!
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I’ve thought about this index so often since you introduced me to it.
It’s exceptionally diagnostic!
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seeAlso the analyst industry. "The X Market will be Y big in Z years". This usually has a hard maximum forecasting event horizon where Z=30 because after that the unknown unknowns pile up too high. Except for climate change where Z=79, dropping at 1yr per yr.
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Analysts particularly like Z>10 because there's no chance they will be found out as everyone has forgotten by then and they've personally moved on to a job with one of their clients.
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