Worried about rising infections in Israel's vaccinated population. With transmissibility this high not sure how we avoid the entire vaccinated population infected? Severity mitigated w vaccine ofc—but yikes.
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Awfully encouraging numbers. Though I suppose even the remarkably low 4% hospitalization rate is catastrophic if the denominator really is the entire population. (In SF, that would be ~36k people; we have ~2k hospital beds plus another ~500 "surge" beds)
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I can't emphasize enough how well vaccines are working against Delta, especially preserving their > 90% effectiveness vs severe illness.
Its high transmissibility (cf prior variants) & prevalence is leading to more infections among vaccinees that are mostly w/o symptoms or mild.
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Exactly. Not happening at once, but there's the liability of non-100% protection and the misunderstanding of why some breakthrough illnesses among a huge denominator (162 million Americans fully vaccinated) should not create a stir.
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Does the 96% efficacy here mean 4% of all infected go to the hospital, or 4% of the pool that would have gone to the hospital if unvaccinated? (Which is presumably itself a relatively low percent of unvaccinated cases?)
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Fortunately, it is unlikely the whole population will be infected simultaneously. Especially as some have already recovered!
In UK, we're currently looking at worst case of 1 in 75 locally (Redcar & Cleveland).
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The worst case should also take into account possibilities such as reinfection and vaccine-escape.
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