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If tutors really do reliably produce two-sigma learning gains, then why aren't most top achievers the product of tutors? Yes, they're expensive, but perhaps "only" 2-3x private school; there are a lot of wealthy parents. Diminishing returns for high achievers?
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Hypo: If in a lockstep formal curriculum, gains-to-tutoring are lower (you can't quite "skip ahead" 1.7 months, it's a year or nothing), so tutor-like investment happens in environments with gradual slopes, not steps (e.g., debate, working in a science lab, the examples you list)
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In all seriousness -- how would those rich parents get tutored kids into college? Barring the very top examples (e.g., kid is on track to be a Fields Medal mathematician), being just "more smart" seems less valuable to getting into college than "more success" in extracurriculars
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