Besides the very important work itself, this write-up constitutes a fascinating and visceral play-by-play of "I notice that I am confused" in practice.
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A month ago, the pseudonymous Working Group did an independent research project on the coronavirus outbreak in Japan. Our result was novel and concerning. We quietly circulated it to accelerate the response effort.
Here's the research and the backstory:
kalzumeus.com/2020/04/21/jap
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