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Many helpful replies explaining the delay! Some plausible explanations: - there's likely a several-day backlog for tests - median pre-symptomatic time is 5 days but 97th %ile is 12 (!) - hospitalized patients aren't necessarily tested on day 1
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I think it's mainly because people don't generally get the really bad symptoms until the end of the 2nd week. That's when they're more likely to go get tested. A few more days and we'll see more flattening. Also think compliance with the order has likely gotten better over time.
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This delayed flattening seems about what we should expect, given that symptoms appear up to 14 days after initial exposure? (Or maybe I'm misinterpreting what data the graph is showing?)
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If it's 5 days incubation, you probably won't think about getting tested the first day, but maybe on day 2 or 3. Then it takes time to get an appointment. Then it takes time for the results to be determined. Then it takes time for the results to be officially reported.
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Also testing is getting ramped up. So if you had a very poor testing rate before initially and it has since been increase that, the number of *known* cases can still go up.
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