I'm not even prescribing a normative "people should be more optimistic" (though I think that too). What's so striking is that people often undershoot optimism/ambition relative to *their own* held beliefs about what is possible and valuable. They're just using cached thoughts.
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On a few occasions, I've had the opportunity to help others notice this. It's a startling experience: people react a bit like they were caught talking in their sleep. Others have done this for me a few times, and I'm so grateful. See also
@tylercowen's https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2018/10/high-return-activity-raising-others-aspirations.html ….Show this thread -
What's the total "inefficiency" in human potential represented by this optimism gap? What is the maximum return to increasing optimism—even if only to match people's own professed held and values? What about to the level which reflects reality?
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Why should anyone need to be encouraged to solve bigger problems? Why should smallness, mediocrity, or stasis be the default? Aspects of our culture promote stasis by disabling our creativity in various areas, preventing us from even attempting or conceiving of improvements.
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I suspect scientific norms are exceptional here. For example, one is seldom laughed at for attempting to improve something, whatever the perceived scale of the problem. Outside science, ‘realistic’, ‘attainable’, ‘normal’, ‘down-to-earth’ attitudes dominate.
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