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Dr who suspected he might have #COVIDー19 but was refused test & kept working results in a least 5 cases. Seems the decision whether or not to test should be weighted according to the work people do, particularly medical staff but also catering workershttps://www.thelocal.no/20200301/two-new-oslo-eye-clinic-visitors-test-positive-for-coronovirus …
Passed 3000 deaths in the last hour or so. What I don't get is that this is 3.4% of all cases to date and 7% of all cases which is well above the 2.3% often given. It seems the initial death rate was very high and is lower with more recent cases but still don't get the 2.3%pic.twitter.com/JrBGdHMcYL
Err under HUGE IF TRUE we have what might be early trials of a vaccine for #coronavirus in China - also sounds like rather extreme risk taking by the military medical personnel but I guess the stakes are big https://twitter.com/Dali_Yang/status/1234861499019153421 …
Profile of Major General Chen Wei China military’s top epidemiologist and virologist who is said to be the person getting injected in the right most photohttps://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3064677/meet-major-general-chinas-coronavirus-scientific-front-line …
"Chinese President Xi Jinping called for the fast development of effective vaccine and treatment drugs for the novel coronavirus during an inspection tour of two major institutions currently researching COVID-19"https://news.cgtn.com/news/2020-03-02/Xi-Jinping-calls-for-early-vaccines-for-coronavirus--OxgfMsQZWw/index.html …
The above having rather a lot of 'I Serve the Soviet Union' Chernobyl energypic.twitter.com/c1gCFUJ55f
Story seems credible at this point but still only reported in pretty fringe publications (at least in English). Of course the gap between 1st human tests & mass deployment is still very long in any conventional deployment but perhaps PLA will shortcut https://www.defenseworld.net/news/26454/Chinese_Military_Docs_Develop_Novel_Coronavirus__COVID_19__Vaccine#.Xl-Eji2cbUI …
This is by far the most detailed write up I've seen based off a Chinese state TV broadcast - note it doesn't have the claim that they have started human trials on themselves just that progress has been made in developing a #Coronvirus vaccine.https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1181507.shtml …
Just spotted that the upthread link to claim that Chinese military scientists were self testing a vaccine on themselves no longer goes anywhere. Here's one of the photos that was said to show the vaccination happening, the earliest claim I saw was here https://twitter.com/qingqingparis/status/1234859146031357953 …pic.twitter.com/BiVDqefU4H
I've created a list to which I'm going to add accounts that seem to consistently post relevant information on #COVIDー19 https://twitter.com/i/lists/1235523627178745857 …
8% (23 of 290) of Iranian law makers have tested positive for #coronavirus according to Iran’s Deputy Parliament Speaker - apparent confirmation of the suspicion that Iran has been under reporting caseshttps://edition.cnn.com/asia/live-news/coronavirus-outbreak-03-03-20-intl-hnk/h_13306122baecfcaa123a7ca59478d0d6 …
Meanwhile Trump is saying people can go to work with #Covid19 as its 'very mild' and they will just be sitting around getting better!https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1235605555994972160 …
he’s implying it’s so mild it’s okay to do nothing. That’s dangerous message. I could continue to describe how capitalism will put out health seriously at risk but here’s the CNBC business channel editor doing it for me & suggesting that to protect profits people should just be infected to get disruption over withpic.twitter.com/uxS5WQUwl5
Trump but also Boris have been leading the ‘we don’t need to treat #coronavirus seriously’ charge not because they are idiots but because effective counter measures would result in huge profit reduction - CO2 fell 25% in China, container freight 50% https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1235816650462511105?s=21 …https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1235816650462511105 …
More wonderful stupidity from the US far right, I’m imagining him writing this in a cafe as someone on the next table coughs & splutters and a droplet mist descends on the keyboardpic.twitter.com/haCZ7nYOEK
By far the frankest interview I’ve seen yet from someone heading up counter measures, certainly puts the HSE spin to shamepic.twitter.com/1knh4yne5M
Really excellent thread that looks at likely rate of spread / increase of #coronavirus in the US and how quickly that will overload available hospital beds. It's not hard to imagine what that will do in Ireland where beds are already short on a good dayhttps://twitter.com/LizSpecht/status/1236095180459003909 …
Best guess projections for the US suggesting half a million deaths over the next two months but also points out that action now can reduce rate of infection & doubling timehttps://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1236196862157377537 …
Weddings and funerals banned across a fair chunk of Italy as hospitals over whelmedhttps://twitter.com/naomiohreally/status/1236423056244998144 …
This graph of cases in China is worth looking at for two reasons 1. The rate of growth at the start shows how a few cases can become 10s of 1000s 2. The levelling off & decline from Feb 8th shows robust action can contain the spreadpic.twitter.com/I7v93akOVT
That robust action shouldn’t be simply understood as state action. From interviews with people from Chinese community in Dublin it’s clear there is a huge community component as people came together to support neighbors self isolating on return from visits home
We are already seeing a form of this in terms of people not taking flights to Italy - something that happened well before the Italian state shut everything down - see upthread - but employers have too much power to force as with sick leavehttps://twitter.com/sethdoane/status/1236796710598443009 …
pic.twitter.com/9saP08Um4VThis animation is a particularly neat form of the importance flattening the curve to avoid excess deaths because hospitals get overloaded - given the lack of capacity in Ireland its particularly important to avoid huge event related spikeshttps://twitter.com/SiouxsieW/status/1236721200291655680 …
And this C4 News interview about the updated W.H.O. death risk of 3.4% of governments take a head in the sand approach has a lot of valuable concepts - the clear lesson is early action will be much less disruptive than having to shut down citieshttps://youtu.be/Q2_FkyY3BOM
The threat of continuous exponential growth is what leads to projections like those that appeared in the Irish media of 1.9 million cases. But as with all growth forecast just because you can join the dots & extend into future doesn't mean you shouldhttps://twitter.com/drg1985/status/1236653062225367041 …
A fairly detailed account from a doctor on the front lines in Bergamo, Italy. He comes down on the 'we are allowed a little panic' sidehttps://twitter.com/silviast9/status/1236933818654896129 …
And now Boris is 'just saying' that 'some people' think the virus should just be let run its course rather than taking 'draconian' preventive measureshttps://twitter.com/john_weeks/status/1237018638026039296 …
Handy explainer thread on what happens when someone coughs which is embedded in a much longer thread on why soap is so effective & how long the virus survives on various surfaceshttps://twitter.com/PalliThordarson/status/1236549331106156544 …
Wow government has done a complete 180 shift on messaginghttps://twitter.com/wsmireland/status/1237081017296584704 …
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Aaron Rupar
Brian Sapient the Planet Saver
Channel 4 News