excellent analysis, nailed it! Congrats 
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Thank you!
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Well it makes sense up to a certain level. But Iran's oil production doesn't matter that much on its own. And for the
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neighbors to get involved, it would require an actual war. That's not really something that Trump can afford. Or win.
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That's not a problem as long as it's only the neighbours fighting and Trump is sitting on the side-line.
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I think that is even more unlikely. Iraq certainly wouldn't be interested. I can't imagine Saudi-Arabia either, considering
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their experience in Yemen. Not much left besides those. All too distant and too busy with their other messes. ;)
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hmmm. This would look very much like a religious war (as well as thinly disguised imperialism).
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Sunni vs shia IS religious war.
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it is, but relatively localised. Overt Christian v Muslim is another level - and one which means civil unrest in W
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Muslims are minority in the west. Them attacking christians will just make things worse for muslims.
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it's not about majorities or minorities if it comes down to open religious struggle = terror and state crack-downs
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Muslims cannot win, and for christians any religious conflict in west will be tragedy no matter who wins.
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the Trump admin is openly talking in a Christian supremacist fashion - views not secret. Many Americans support.
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Isn't already on fire
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...given that Urals quality is a heavy/sour type of crude, different from Brent and WTI
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But before this US will try to push russia out from EU oil market. They already doing it with natural gas. Profit!
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Also,
#Trump has mult voices in his cabinet that are either anti-Muslim (Bannon) or anti-Iran (Flynn). He follows their leadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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This has nothing to do with oil. If prices rise, the US shale oil producers are the real winners. US is swing producer now
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ideally they need to break up OPEC >>put Urals crude brand as a market benchmark instead of Brent, thats not going to be easy
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