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  1. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    18. sij

    . rocket boosters returning to Earth to be reused

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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    28. pro 2019.

    Giant oaks from tiny acorns grow—& we still haven’t figured out how to spot which acorns will dominate our future (and we probably never will) The tweet below nails it

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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    4. lis 2019.

    What's the probability that Swedish environmental activist will win the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize? Forecast below and retweet with impunity!

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    22. ruj 2019.

    We’re surrounded by unlikely events, enough to make it extremely likely we’ll encounter lots of weird coincidences in our lives—indeed, so many that even the devoutly secular among us will be tempted to see the Hand of Fate.

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    18. ruj 2019.

    Predicting is toughest test of “actually understanding.” Geophysicists can “explain” earthquakes but can’t predict them. Many sciences grapple with explanation-prediction gaps. Complex systems, imperfect data…it ain’t easy.

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  6. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    26. kol 2019.

    Good Judgment Inc has Superforecasting workshops scheduled for Washington (September 19th), London (September 26th), and New York (October 17th). Get your tickets today to learn from the best!

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    , where views are constantly tested against the real world, and there is a visible track record of how often people have been right or wrong, and by how much.

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  8. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    20. kol 2019.

    A time lapse of the night sky with a twist. The milky way is fixed, while the earth rotates.

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    9. kol 2019.

    Have a listen to this latest CrowdScience podcast from the with Good Judgment's own !

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    27. srp 2019.

    Superforecasters remain skeptical about a November Brexit: they have a 79% probability that policymakers instead kick the can again—about the same as pre-Boris.

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    May The Odds Be Ever in Your Favor

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    24. srp 2019.

    What's the probability that the US will extend Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela? Forecast below & retweet with impunity! Read more @

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    What are the chances the UK holds a snap election before 1 February 2020? graphs the odds.

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. srp 2019.
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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    26. lip 2019.

    What's the probability that the United States will defeat France in Friday’s Women’s World Cup match? Forecast below & retweet with impunity! Read more at

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  16. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    25. lip 2019.

    Forecasters and SCOTUS watchers, we are dead even on whether the Court will rule (should be this week, maybe tomorrow morning) either MD or NC district maps as unconstitutional. What say you!?!

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    13. lip 2019.

    What’s the probability that Hong Kong authorities will report having arrested more than 100 protesters on Sunday? Forecast below, then retweet with impunity! Read more at

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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    11. lip 2019.

    Quick question for those who have registered on (regardless of whether you have forecasted): which of the following best describes your motivation behind signing up? "I wanted to...

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Hello, I have a story about that shows the extent to which the debate over Iran policy has been turned into a snake pit of disinformation that leads from social media to news outlets all the way up to the White House:

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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    6. lip 2019.

    Let's help the WSJ: President says tariffs on Mexico are coming on Monday as things stand. What do you think the odds are that new tariffs will be imposed?

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