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Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je TweetHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
Giant oaks from tiny acorns grow—& we still haven’t figured out how to spot which acorns will dominate our future (and we probably never will) The tweet below nails ithttps://twitter.com/notjessewalker/status/1210967166004219904 …
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Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
What's the probability that Swedish environmental activist
@GretaThunberg will win the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize? https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/464278-odds-place-greta-thunberg-as-frontrunner-for-this-years-nobel … Forecast below and retweet with impunity!#NobelPeacePrize#GretaThurnberg@superforecasterPrikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
We’re surrounded by unlikely events, enough to make it extremely likely we’ll encounter lots of weird coincidences in our lives—indeed, so many that even the devoutly secular among us will be tempted to see the Hand of Fate.https://twitter.com/InertialObservr/status/1174403655711084544 …
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Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
Predicting is toughest test of “actually understanding.” Geophysicists can “explain” earthquakes but can’t predict them. Many sciences grapple with explanation-prediction gaps. Complex systems, imperfect data…it ain’t easy.
@RobertJShillerpic.twitter.com/fDSvErdalm
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Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
Good Judgment Inc has Superforecasting workshops scheduled for Washington (September 19th), London (September 26th), and New York (October 17th). Get your tickets today to learn from the best!
@PTetlock@superforecasterhttps://goodjudgment.com/resources/upcoming-workshops …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
@GJ_Open, where views are constantly tested against the real world, and there is a visible track record of how often people have been right or wrong, and by how much.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
A time lapse of the night sky with a twist. The milky way is fixed, while the earth rotates.pic.twitter.com/5iMxw8bN43
Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
Have a listen to this latest CrowdScience podcast from the
@bbc with Good Judgment's own@MWStory!https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w3csz1t9 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
Superforecasters remain skeptical about a November Brexit: they have a 79% probability that policymakers instead kick the can again—about the same as pre-Boris. https://www.eurasiagroup.net/live-post/superforecaster-fridays-brexit …https://twitter.com/EurasiaGroup/status/1155226352829681664 …
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Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
May The Odds Be Ever in Your Favorhttps://fs.blog/2012/10/odds-in-your-favor/ …
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Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
What's the probability that the US will extend Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela? https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2019/07/23/business/23reuters-venezuela-oil-chevron.html … Forecast below & retweet with impunity!
@cohenluc@luisalonsolugo#venezuela@APjoshgoodman Read more @ http://gjopen.com/snapcasts@superforecasterPrikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
What are the chances the UK holds a snap election before 1 February 2020?
@superforecaster graphs the odds.http://bit.ly/2JKUMX7Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
Have a look at the latest from
@bbc on one of our GJO challenges with@nesta_uk!@superforecasterhttp://www.bbc.com/future/story/20190627-forecasting-challenge-your-predictions-so-far …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
What's the probability that the United States will defeat France in Friday’s Women’s World Cup match? https://www.cbssports.com/soccer/world-cup/news/womens-world-cup-2019-bracket-schedule-usa-soccer-will-play-france-in-european-heavy-quarterfinals/ … Forecast below & retweet with impunity!
@SPianovich@CBSSports@USWNT@ussoccer@equipedefrance Read more at http://gjopen.com/snapcasts@superforecasterPrikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
Forecasters and SCOTUS watchers, we are dead even on whether the Court will rule (should be this week, maybe tomorrow morning) either MD or NC district maps as unconstitutional. What say you!?!
#rucho#lamone@CommonCause@CommonCauseNChttps://www.gjopen.com/questions/1115-will-the-supreme-court-rule-that-any-part-of-either-north-carolina-s-or-maryland-s-congressional-district-maps-is-an-unconstitutional-partisan-gerrymander …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
What’s the probability that Hong Kong authorities will report having arrested more than 100 protesters on Sunday?https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/12/world/asia/hong-kong-protests.html … Forecast below, then retweet with impunity!
@nytimes@jotted@nytmay@mikeives Read more at http://gjopen.com/snapcasts@superforecasterPrikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
Quick question for those who have registered on http://gjopen.com (regardless of whether you have forecasted): which of the following best describes your motivation behind signing up? "I wanted to...
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Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
Hello, I have a story about that shows the extent to which the debate over Iran policy has been turned into a snake pit of disinformation that leads from social media to news outlets all the way up to the White House:https://theintercept.com/2019/06/09/heshmat-alavi-fake-iran-mek/ …
Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Amory Bennett proslijedio/la je Tweet
Let's help the WSJ: President
@realDonaldTrump says tariffs on Mexico are coming on Monday as things stand. What do you think the odds are that new tariffs will be imposed?https://twitter.com/GJ_Open/status/1136705597850640384 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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