All that before I can even make a choice, and it has to be well informed by... well probably my intelligence service.
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I think the choice would come down to a small group of nobles directly in the kings service. No mediation required.
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Choosing from your nobles ends in heredity (eventually one will appoint their own bloodline).
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it might be inevitable given a highly clannish culture but outbred NW Europeans? It's at least not easily fated.
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I'm familiar with HBD, yes. However I just couldn't parse the "but outbred NW Europeans" part.
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I'm saying it is less likely that an outbred NW European society will result in clannish or familial/inbred corruption.
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modern NWE I assume? Royals have always worked differently, they have other incentives for children as the middle class has.
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Also, there is another, better, option, not royalty but neocameralism. A CEO selected by stockholders.
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That selects for sociopaths though :/
(Or puts the market entirely in charge which is a bad idea)
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The market is entirely in charge. What do you think an election is but a market mechanism?
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Democratic elections as implemented aren't (absence of homo oeconomicus). A futarchy maybe is.
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It's just instead of stockholders its "citizens" who of course select for whoever promises the biggest bribes.
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That carries the seed of its own destruction. Voter populations are dumb enough to vote for unsustainable tax cuts.
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Stockholders want to increase the value of their property, so they select for competence, which you may think is sociopathic
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They want to increase dividends, not property value. Otherwise Amazon stocks wouldn't have tanked recently.