I do see monarchies being better at long-term coherence, as long as the same monarch lives.
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The choice of successor should of course be up to the monarch. It need not be primogeniture.
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But let's say I choose from my courtiers. The selection pressure at my court will be brutal and select for the wrong things.
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All that before I can even make a choice, and it has to be well informed by... well probably my intelligence service.
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I think the choice would come down to a small group of nobles directly in the kings service. No mediation required.
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Choosing from your nobles ends in heredity (eventually one will appoint their own bloodline).
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it might be inevitable given a highly clannish culture but outbred NW Europeans? It's at least not easily fated.
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I'm familiar with HBD, yes. However I just couldn't parse the "but outbred NW Europeans" part.
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Are you referring to that stuff around the Hajnal Line etc? Large or small families, our nobility has always been clannish.
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You can't escape clannishness entirely. Otherwise you end up with the problems of universal suffrage democracy.