Exercise 3: If infinite genies gave you infinite independent Pascal's muggings, would you give a little to each or all to one?
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If you pay X% of full price there is an X% chance that particular genie's hostages won't die. Each genie has large but finite # hostages.
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I was about to say, I see a market for synthetic CDOs. Find a few more credulous genies get a pyramid thing going
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@276039081 possible constant factor approach: sell a genie the compensation of a life insurance to save n lives each.
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hm. As in, 'Genie, how about I sell you life insurance on all those you might kill because someone else refuses?'
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inputs: mugging freq, deaths per failed mugging, local prob of success as fnc of death#, persuasion coefficient