I know what you mean, but I suspect that will change - also see SSC surveys on what percentage of researchers believe in strong AI by 2030
-
-
Replying to @0xa59a2d
it won't change absent groundbreaking new methods none of us can presently foresee
3 replies 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @alicemazzy @0xa59a2d
we can foresee the event of "a groundbreaking new method occurred that none of us foresaw" tho, I think is the arg
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
-
Replying to @alicemazzy @0xa59a2d
You could foresee Moore's law continuing without being able to foresee nm-scale fabrication
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
"groundbreaking discoveries we could have never foreseen happened in the past with regularity" + rule of induction
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @io_claric @0xa59a2d
but previous to said discoveries no one could have predicted what those discoveries were or what they would enable
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
I'm not saying there's nothing left to be found, I'm saying it's impossible to chart a course
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
if anyone is right about what follows from now unknown knowledge, it will be in the manner of democritus: accidentally
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
like "man with ten coins gets the job" prediction's possible truth can be separated from meaninglessness of predicting
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.