I'd rather a self-aware and diligent aristocracy but don't like the odds of getting either quality out of the current crop
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it will happen sooner or later, probably after a series of high-profile software-related deaths, but I'd prefer later
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The thing is: our professionals suck. None of us know what we're doing. Pretending some have the perfect answers would not be good now.
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yea a big reason the field is as anti-credentialist as it is is because existing credentials have no predictive value
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it's a mistake to view programming as unique in comparison to other complex fields, it's just presently much freer
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so intelligence/raw talent/intuition/adaptability matter a lot more than adherence to procedure which can be trained
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this is resolved by the field having a few shocks where the wild west sort of culture/practice causes enormous loss
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then it becomes much more conservative in what is allowed, options are restricted enough to be drilled into new entrants
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and credentials emerge to certify not that the recipient is skillful but that they have learned and can follow protocol
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IEEE favors licensing while ACM opposes but they made that code together
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