I don't think "real" AI in near term is likely but people underestimate how the tools developed toward that goal can be used against humans
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new cyberpunk aesthetic, massive but uncreative government automated propaganda wing waging war against rogue nnets poisoning the well
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the sentient computer meme is at present pure fantasy, computers are best understood as force multipliers, the longest lever yet produced
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how long until hackers start popping boxes not to get their hands on password hashes but training data
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fundamental constraint on applications is the bias/variance tradeoff, whether you underfit or overfit your inputs
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imagine a hypothetical in which computer vision is perfected and the main challenge of self-driving cars is decisionmaking
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reasonable to think they would outperform the worst drivers in all cases, and the best drivers in typical cases
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failing in weird (ie, rare) edge cases that humans above a certain skill threshold could handle competently
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from a utilitarian view this is strictly better as they are safer in aggregate even though they may doom the occasional outlier
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now instead of drivers imagine a comparable system replacing juries
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only fantastical part of this is the system working well for the given definition of "well", inferior programs already used for bail/parole
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woke types accuse these systems of amplifying human biases, hbd types say they reveal biases as truths. I don't think either is quite right
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assuming reasonably well-designed system, would likely handle vast majority of cases better than average and fail spectacularly on outliers
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this would strike most as a shocking abrogation of (the ideal of) justice, as well as put a more material fear in said outliers
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but the way the question will be posed is, do the aggregate effects justify the collateral damage?
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and, given the track record, I expect most will answer in the affirmative
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So there should be a big market for AI/ML developing counter-propaganda. There are a lot of shitlords that would know how to do it, too.
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