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alicemazzy's profile
Alice Maz
Alice Maz
Alice Maz
@alicemazzy

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Alice Maz

@alicemazzy

true neutral

Austin, TX
alicemaz.com
Joined August 2009

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    1. Alice Maz‏ @alicemazzy Jul 23
      Replying to @SpeakMouthWords

      the core ideas of balance of power as I understand it are...

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    2. Alice Maz‏ @alicemazzy Jul 23
      Replying to @alicemazzy @SpeakMouthWords

      a) states will act independently to maintain equilibrium, because absent a severe enough imbalance that one might achieve hegemony, maintaining equilibrium is optimal for all participants individually

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Alice Maz‏ @alicemazzy Jul 23
      Replying to @alicemazzy @SpeakMouthWords

      and b) this disincentivizes war, which is presumed to be employed chiefly to fulfill hegemonic ambition, but balancing incentives function like a poison pill

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. Alice Maz‏ @alicemazzy Jul 23
      Replying to @alicemazzy @SpeakMouthWords

      but based on reading both of these assumptions seem completely wrong. rather than an emergent property of states, the few times a "balance" seems to persist...

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    5. Alice Maz‏ @alicemazzy Jul 23
      Replying to @alicemazzy @SpeakMouthWords

      ...are compacts between particular *men* with particular shared aims, and once those men exit the stage, or come to distrust each other, the whole thing falls apart

      3 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    6. Alex (spooky orange edition)  🕳‏ @SpeakMouthWords Jul 23
      Replying to @alicemazzy

      Right, agreed. Entities (whether individual-led or not being moot imo) act in their own interest, not the interest of the balance. The balance emerges from the entity-to-entity interactions, not in some hivemind simulcast of ideas

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    7. Alice Maz‏ @alicemazzy Jul 23
      Replying to @SpeakMouthWords

      I don't think a "balance" ever actually exists. the idea is that the "balance" is a stable equilibrium that individual actors will endeavor to preserve

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. Alice Maz‏ @alicemazzy Jul 23
      Replying to @alicemazzy @SpeakMouthWords

      the reality seems to be that because participants inevitably arrive at different assessments of relative power, and participants all want to maximize their position...

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    9. Alice Maz‏ @alicemazzy Jul 23
      Replying to @alicemazzy @SpeakMouthWords

      ...the result is constant jockeying for position whether through internal improvement or external conflict up to and including war

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Alex (spooky orange edition)  🕳‏ @SpeakMouthWords Jul 23
      Replying to @alicemazzy

      I just realised that your very first tweet had a major grammatical error / abbreviation that may have led in the complete wrong direction on what you believe. Is it your position that geopolitics is dynamic and there is no balance/equilibrium at all?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Alice Maz‏ @alicemazzy Jul 23
      Replying to @SpeakMouthWords

      oh, yea basically. afaict the commonly cited examples of "balance" working are really just particular individuals earnestly motivated to cooperate against greater threats

      1:14 PM - 23 Jul 2018
      • 2 Likes
      • Jeffrey Coleman bronze age lantern
      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. Alice Maz‏ @alicemazzy Jul 23
          Replying to @alicemazzy @SpeakMouthWords

          and otherwise multipolarity results in constant conflict as various powers attempt to balance or bandwagon to maximize their own positions

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Alex (spooky orange edition)  🕳‏ @SpeakMouthWords Jul 23
          Replying to @alicemazzy

          so what's the deal with the current era, applying that thinking, in your view?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Alice Maz‏ @alicemazzy Jul 23
          Replying to @SpeakMouthWords

          pic.twitter.com/B5YIiftqMB

          0 replies 2 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation

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