The "flatten the curve" according the a SEIR model. The grey dotted line at the bottom is hospital capacity. https://twitter.com/alison_l_hill/status/1239072817678823425 …pic.twitter.com/tukULRKljn
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The "flatten the curve" according the a SEIR model. The grey dotted line at the bottom is hospital capacity. https://twitter.com/alison_l_hill/status/1239072817678823425 …pic.twitter.com/tukULRKljn
It's not sooo bad if you say that only individuals with severe or critical infection have to go to the hospital (choose "Severe + Critical Infections (I2+I3) vs Hospital Beds") from the "Select variable to show" dropdown menu. But it's still bad!pic.twitter.com/rE5XB3mW3A
Thank you! Yes, I think that agrees a lot more with both intuition and also the latest published study (from Imperial College, today): Source: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf?fbclid=IwAR0g8frLgX7eU_dYyRd0zDFuZoEFAoAYZytJA5krgb_zNxbPt8jKnhhbGYo …pic.twitter.com/nc9J0y9scT
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