And today the San Francisco jail population is 722. Crime rate is still falling.https://twitter.com/chesaboudin/status/1247058578113843201 …
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Replying to @chesaboudin
Define crime rate. Define falling. Show the data and the math.
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Replying to @bonam @chesaboudin
Crime rate as defined and reported by the SFPD -- the number of incident reports. Since the start of the shelter in place -- when the DA begin rapidly decarcerating -- crime is down more than 50%.pic.twitter.com/oSwGPdcbcP
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Except the data doesn’t take into account the fact the police are NOT arresting unless it’s a violent crime (protecting officers )& the courts are closed (no drug dealing arrests), businesses are closed & boarded up (no retail crime) no one is walking around (no assault + theft)
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The crime data is based on incident arrest, not arrest rate. This is powerful evidence that, during shelter in place, rapid decarceration, at least temporarily, will not cause a spike in crime as so many people fear mongered. Every jurisdiction should be following SF's lead.
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Can you clarify what the difference is between incident arrest vs arrest rate? So if there’s no arrest, is the incident not counted? For example - cars with smashed windows, theft under $950, etc. Is there any info about the types of 911/311 calls in SF?
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Incident rate is based on the number of police reports so it doesn't matter if a suspect is ever identified. You can find police calls for service here: https://data.sfgov.org/Public-Safety/Police-Department-Calls-for-Service/hz9m-tj6z … 311 calls: https://data.sfgov.org/City-Infrastructure/311-Cases/vw6y-z8j6 …
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