Short thread. I keep seeing claims on how some places may have reached herd immunity & calculations on whether a variant is more virulent or disporportionately affects the young etc. These are not easy things to discern so let’s not do confident back-of-the-envelope calculations.
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This makes sense. In past surges, there wouldn’t have been beds available for younger people who were very sick also. Triage says younger age = better outcomes.
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could be. but aren't
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could be. but aren't hospital people saying that the young patients they are treating are more severe? and aren't younger deaths increasing?
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This explanation doesn’t make sense to me. If fewer beds are taken up by old people, thereby freeing up beds for young people, then you’d expect to see more admissions of young people, but a *lower death rate*. Because the level of sickness required for an ICU admission is lower.
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, he/him