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UNTIL THIS YEAR, WE HAD SPECIFIC, DETAILED, AND EVIDENCE-BASED RECOMMENDATIONS FOR WHAT TO DO - AND WHAT NOT TO DO - IN CASE OF RESPIRATORY VIRUS EPIDEMICS. WE HAVE THROWN THEM ALL OUT. IN FAVOR OF MEDIA-FED HYSTERIA. What’s changed? Not the science.
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Exactly the same number as are alive today. Or do randomized controlled trials, metaanalyses in peer-reviewed journals, and pre-2020
@who@cdcgov recommendations carry no weight with you?https://twitter.com/davidjuurlink/status/1282073550225133568 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Labor more from Texas; before positive tests and hospitalizations can drop, they have to peak. Too early to say for sure, but today’s data is promising; Covid non-ICU hospitalizations down day-over-day in both Houston and SE Texas. The peak in positive tests is more obvious.pic.twitter.com/2af0d1Bs8J
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Don’t think developed nations with a tradition of respecting individual rights will trash them for
#Covid? I have two words for you: New Zealand. Where indefinite confinement is already real, and PEOPLE IN ISOLATION ARE DESPERATELY TRYING TO BREAK FREE. Welcome to the occupation.pic.twitter.com/uq57e3MpNK
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Which, I vaguely seem to recall, was the whole point of lockdowns, way back when (March, the old normal). Flatten the curve, remember? Not: nobody ever dies again.
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Here’s ICU/vent use in SE Texas, and ICU use change in Arizona, where things are tightest, over the last 20 days. No matter how hard you try, you can’t make this a catastrophe. Maybe it becomes one, or maybe it fades slowly, we will see, but for now the hospitals are managing.pic.twitter.com/uAxqAtSvaU
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Overall capacity/use in SE Texas (includes Houston). See that blue line in the middle,
@joshtpm? How it rises and falls seemingly at random despite the steady rise in the green? Weird, huh? Same thing in Arizona, btw.pic.twitter.com/zSJe9aAttM
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What if - and bear with me here, this may be hard to understand - you don’t have a massive surge in people needing crisis care, just a lot of people testing Covid-positive and little overall change in hospital use? What then? (Texas screenshots below.)https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/1281957916149518342 …
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Who wants to tell him
#sarscov2 is much less dangerous than the pandemic influenza strains anticipated in both the@cdcgov and@who manuals? (They are careful to avoid mortality estimates but they have enough specific language that there’s no doubt of this fact.)https://twitter.com/daveanthony/status/1281770328750841858 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
When hospitals deny families access to their dying relatives, everyone suffers. From a man whose father died of cancer in Houston this week: “he was alone until the last few hours of his life.” I know hospitals want to protect patients from
#covid, but this is a cruel choice.pic.twitter.com/JBLZdI8452
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Thanks for noticing. I learned when I wrote Tell Your Children that “cherry-pick” is how the side with the losing argument says, “presenting facts we don’t like and can’t answer.” It and “misrepresents” (when used against verbatim quotes) are the two great signs of weaseling.https://twitter.com/drdanmo/status/1281711546167689216 …
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Trump makes lots of mistakes but what choice did he have in this case? The schools in many states clearly were not headed for reopening even before he spoke. He didn’t politicize this issue; it came to him that way.https://twitter.com/sportsnow41/status/1281697655849017344 …
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I have no doubt the real story of how the teachers unions muscled the pediatricians - to the extent THEY ISSUED A JOINT STATEMENT - is juicier than usual DC inside baseball. I’m sure
@nytimes will get right on it. Or not.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
And this statement has already gotten way more media attention than the original. Are you surprised? Me neither.
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And the
@ameracadpeds caves. In a joint statement with the teachers unions. Yeah, schools should reopen. Maybe. Who knows when? The stakes are too high to quit. Not now, not ever. But I’m not gonna lie. This is a gut punch.pic.twitter.com/ztBSqkOrHc
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Thanks to
@billhemmer for the great questions - hope everyone enjoys the interview!https://twitter.com/billhemmer/status/1281690658181312512 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
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From NJ, an *honest* mask campaign: masks have been shown to “decrease the release of droplets from people’s mouths, which can carry infectious particles.” Yep. And THAT’S ABOUT IT. Also, they make great parking lot decorations. And you’ll never forget what you had for lunch.pic.twitter.com/PnEuJMHtik
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Wake me when we require college students to be tested for sexually transmitted infections before they’re allowed to attend. Or randomly when they’re there.https://twitter.com/kendallybrown/status/1281647801982578688 …
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5/ If, as serology studies have suggested, the actual v. reported rate is more like 20x (i.e. for every positive test 20 people have had
#sarscov2), the infection fatality rate will be even lower (possible if treatments have improved or we are protecting nursing homes better).Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
4/ In fact, after adjusting for that two week lag, Florida and Texas are reporting relatively low CASE fatality rates right now; multiplying actual v. reported cases by 10x (this is probably low but they have been testing heavily) puts the IFR right in the 0.2%-0.3% we'd expect.
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