Intro to my work: http://akarlin.com , interested in 
#geopolitics 
#psychometrics 
#transhumanism
"The weak do not deserve my takes."
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This is the same sort of charade people are engaging with as the earlier "softening" of Russian demands in negotiations. Well what happened to that narrative, Russian rhetoric and demands have sharply increased since then.https://twitter.com/TopNewsWorks/status/1507410261023547395 …
Ironically this non-stop triumphalist copium reduces the chance of an *actual* peace deal from very low to zero, since it's not only Ukrainian nationalists who are willing to torpedo any such but also Ukrainian normies under the impression they are winning. So more power to them.
Again, my position from the start was that if Putin is to blink, the vast bulk of the sanctions are not going away (can someone cogently explain why would Western politicians waste huge amounts of political capital on assuaging a loser country??).
In this scenario, Putin overthrown EOY 2024 latest. https://twitter.com/search?q=from%3Aakarlin0%20eoy%202024&src=typed_query&f=live … Putin is not a moron, he knows this. Hence this is all a charade.
The offensive has halted everywhere except in Mariupol and Donbas. What happens now? Are there reinforcements on the way?
Seems that Russia has clearly decided to focus on individual offensives one at a time instead of overstretching its resources across multiple axes, while continuing to attrition Ukraine war-making capacity with missile strikes.
Hasn't Russia consistently said that the longer the talks continue, the more demands will come. Makes perfect sense to me: if Russia spills blood for objective x, the subsequent settlement should reflect that.
Yes, that's how these things tend to work.
They're forcing Putin to go in 100%. At this point, they're functional allies of Russia lmao
It's beyond crazy how delusional people can be. The best of Ukraine can do is to win back a village and lose it after 12h but they are sure Russia is losing
Yaaa.... peace negotiation.... demilitarisation.... really:):)pic.twitter.com/yoZA8259el
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