As hospitals reach capacity high risk Black patients are more likely to die compared to their white counterparts.
#NBERSI #EconTwitter
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Anuj Gangopadhyaya
@Agangopadhyaya
Health policy researcher at the Urban Institute
Washington, DCJoined July 2017
Anuj Gangopadhyaya’s Tweets
We estimate that 850,000 additional women of reproductive age (19-44) will be uninsured in 2023 if the enhanced marketplace premium subsidies from the American Rescue Plan are allowed to expire
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Really worthwhile column.
I have been making this point for a while. The 🚀 + 🪶 phenomenon of asymmetric pass through is a hallmark of market power. Somehow many econ pundits seem allergic to accepting that fact.
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🚨 New WP 🚨 In late 2020 we gave 5,000 low-income US participants $2000, $500, or nothing ($2.5m in transfers), measured survey outcomes, & (for 43%) have access to bank info. What did we find? 1/ (w/ , , & Oliver Hauser)
🔓papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf
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Read the 80-page gun violence bill last night - here comes a thread on what's in it.
Some of it not widely known/publicized.
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Analysis from , , & : 79 out of the 100 counties with highest levels of medical debt in collections are in states that haven't expanded Medicaid under the ACA & are mostly concentrated in GA, NC, & TX.
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Great reporting on a critical story by ' . New research from my colleagues and underpins the findings on county-level variation in the burden of medial debt. urban.org/sites/default/
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Over 100 million people in America ― including 41% of adults ― are plagued by a health care system that is systematically pushing patients into debt on a mass scale.
KHN-@NPR are sharing their stories in a new investigative series #DiagnosisDebt.
khn.org/news/article/d
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Economists love using linear regression to estimate treatment effects — it turns out that there are perils to this method, but also amazing perks
Come with me in this 🧵 if you want to learn…
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New working paper by @paulgp @instrumenthull and Michal Kolesar
This seems very interesting and relevant!
nber.org/papers/w30108
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Quick methods thread for health services and health economics folks, with a surprising and super useful “hook” at the end.
Let’s say you’re interested in estimating how patients weigh various factors (acuity, clinical quality, distance) in their choice of hospitals/physicians.
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In most econ applications, clustering std errors is a problem of design, not sampling. What does that mean? Clustering is needed if treatment assignment is correlated within clusters, not because some clusters were sampled and others were not. 1/8
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Really neat paper by , , and on the impacts of community health center investments in the 60s-80s on infant health in : nber.org/system/files/w
Primary mechanisms seem to be access to prenatal care and reductions on maternal smoking.
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Hey #EconTwitter, do you use clustered standard errors? Do you worry about reliable inference? Our new guide explains when you should worry, when you shouldn't, and how to make better inferences. A joint 🧵 with and . 1/
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For those interested, my Quantitative Finance paper on bitcoin, dubbed the "bitcoin black paper".
1) not a currency, 2) not a store a value, 3) not an inflation hedge, 4) does not protect ag. "tyranny", 5) not decentralized.
Effectively worth exactly 0.
arxiv.org/pdf/2106.14204
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. researchers found that hospitalized Black patients were far more likely than their white counterparts to suffer preventable errors and injuries at the same hospital... urban.org/research/publi
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Expect the map of abortion access to look something like this by the end of summer. About 1/4 of people in the states that go dark will not be able to reach a provider. That's about 80,000 people/year who can't get the abortions they want. #roe #scotus #econtwitter
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Great looking paper out in (policy) today by Alicia Atwood on the long run effects of measles vaccination (released in 1963).
You’ll never guess this, but preventing bad childhood diseases is good and the goodness lasts into adulthood!
aeaweb.org/atypon.php?ret
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So excited to learn that my paper with on Medicaid and human capital was cited in the 2022 Economic Report of the President!
We find expanded Medicaid eligibility reduces the probability of children being below grade for age.
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New in with : sciencedirect.com/science/articl. Introducing early prenatal care initiation conditionality to existing post-birth cash benefit improves infant health. Moms improve their health behaviors in pregnancy. Monetary incentives needed to achieve the benefits
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Spent the last few days emailing thousands of academics in Russia. Today, I'm publishing one of the replies I've gotten as a blog post (in English and in Russian, with the author's permission). Please read it to understand what's going on inside Russia. deryugina.com/a-view-from-ru
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🧵Medicare Advantage enrollment has doubled over the past decade and is projected to be the dominant source of Medicare coverage by 2025.
But its complexities make it challenging for beneficiaries & policymakers.
Today, we try to address that🧵
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A strong case from & that CMS should abandon its proposal to change the risk adjustment system applied to the individual & small group markets:
brookings.edu/essay/cms-shou
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HHS has had complaints about insurers dodging ACA laws for contraceptives, as they start similar coverage for COVID tests.
But denials aren't the only barrier to care! and I find 40% of BC services cost pats $$$ they shouldn't have to pay!
🔗: tinyurl.com/2ex5ndb7
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Medicare Advantage penetration is now 45.3% nationally for 2022. Almost a quarter of counties now have pen>50%. I've said it before and I'll say it again, health policy researchers can no longer ignore the MA program.
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After months, I’m finally ready to release my 2021 Child Tax Credit analysis
I find the CTC reduces parent and child poverty by 33% and 35%, and reduces deep poverty by 44% and 51%, larger than the impact of the 2018 CTC and EITC *combined*
Paper link:
drive.google.com/file/d/1H5iNZZ
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Manchin open to expanded child tax credit with lower income caps for eligible families
Sounds good to me
I support helping lower and middle income families. Families w/ $200k & $400k don’t need CTC $$
(Stay tuned: I’m releasing a CTC analysis soon) axios.com/scoop-manchin-
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Hey #EconTwitter, #HealthPolicy, #PoliticalScience and #SocialScience in general.
Do you feel lost about recent advances in DiD? We are here to help!
What's Trending in Difference-in-Differences? A Synthesis of the Recent Econometrics Literature
psantanna.com/files/RSBP_DiD
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Prenatal tests promise to detect rare genetic diseases in babies by scanning DNA.
Labs market them as "reliable." They tell women to have "total confidence" in results.
It turns out, the grave predictions made by those tests are usually wrong. (1/5)
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LINE BREAK BACK
This week we’re talking winter poems! reads “Those Winter Sundays” by Robert Hayden, I read “In Winter” by Michael Ryan, and we’re just gonna pretend this coming out on winter solstice was intentional
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The tables at the link below offer a doorway to a vast amount of information about the effects of 18 gun policies on 8 outcomes
Click on any cell in the table, and it takes you to ...
rand.org/research/gun-p
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There has been a lot of amazing news coverage of the power of the Child Tax Credit. This piece, in particular, stands out as one worth listening to again if you're curious about what it would mean to cut child poverty in half.
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Today in NBER WP w/ & Marika Cabral: Physicians get less $ for treating low-income patients on Medicare. What happens if we stop doing that?
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The new reconciliation "framework" would close the Medicaid coverage gap by expanding and improving Marketplace coverage. A quick thread on what we should expect those provisions to achieve.
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Time for a national health care database. This is the Information Age and data are part of our national infrastructure. See the report by and brookings.edu/wp-content/upl
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New WP 🎷🎷
The ring method: when treatment occurs in a specific location, use inner-ring as treated & outer-ring as control group.
Researchers use this all the time, but no one has formalized the necessary assumptions... *horns intensify*
👉 kylebutts.com/files/Rings.pdf
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Our latest paper finds #EITC reduces racial disparities in birth weight, led by PhD student . Poverty alleviation is important policy to address #structuralracism. sciencedirect.com/science/articl
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Medicare Advantage: where almost every plan is now above average.
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The idea of means testing the benefits available to Medicare beneficiaries has NEVER been part of the program. Premiums vary with income - not benefits. The Amer Dental Assoc should be aware of that. wsj.com/articles/denti via
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Employer groups understandably want to piggyback on drug price regulation, but lately have argued that price reductions in Medicare would ↑ commercial prices.
But I see little reason to suspect this sort of "cost-shifting" in practice.
New blog:
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Today we announced will incorporate #healthequity measures into contracts & payment programs w/ clinicians. Racial inequities in #healthcare have devastating impacts & we're holding ourselves accountable to help address them. spr.ly/6017yhIT3. #BCBSMAhealthequity
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