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Consumption data last 3 weeks reflect major problems with EIA measurement . This week consumption increased +8.4 mmb after decreasing -13 mmb last week. Other factor was + 6 mmb increase in net product imports wk ending Jan 31.
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECpic.twitter.com/aBhdju1Og3
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U.S. refinery intakes increased +48 kb/d to 15.97 mmb/d week ending January 31. That was at -357 kb/d less than the 5-year average and -661 kb/d less than this week a year ago.
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECpic.twitter.com/wIs6z8U85O
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U.S. Gulf Coast crack spread decreased -$0.61 (-10%) on Tuesday, February 4 as gasoline price fell more than LLS price and diesel price increased.
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECpic.twitter.com/DpYPZYm9RV
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WTI comparative inventory decreased -2.05 mmb week ending January 31. WTI weekly average price of $52.60 ~$7.50 under-valued based on C.I. yield curve. Current front-month price of $51 ~-$9.00 under-valued.
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECpic.twitter.com/A1CnB6iXsA
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WTI crude + product comparative inventories decreased -2.05 mmb week ending Jan 31. Smaller-than-average addition of crude oil and withdrawals of gasoline & diesel during fill season dominated stock changes.
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECpic.twitter.com/3IRMtTGRe9
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“The smartest mathematical minds on the planet, backed by some of the deepest pockets, had not built a sleek engine of permanent prosperity but a clown car of trades, swaps and double dares that, inevitably fell to bits.” – Raj Patel 2009 http://tupa.gtk.fi/raportti/arkisto/70_2019.pdf …
#OOTT#fintwitpic.twitter.com/yc7KOUVyHL
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Oil’s move was on the back of “a cheap headline about a university in China finding a drug.” He remained skeptical that oil prices would rally further. --Edward Marshall, Global Risk Management https://www.wsj.com/articles/oil-prices-rebound-after-taking-brunt-of-coronavirus-hit-11580904588?mod=searchresults&page=1&pos=1 …
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
“The era of cheap & abundant energy is long gone… Money supply & debt have grown faster than real economy. Debt saturation & paralysis is now a very real risk, requiring a global scale reset.” http://tupa.gtk.fi/raportti/arkisto/70_2019.pdf …
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECpic.twitter.com/NegBlJlA8G
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"We have entered a new era of expensive [unconventional] energy that is likely to trigger a long-term economic contraction." https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/8848g5/government-agency-warns-global-oil-industry-is-on-the-brink-of-a-meltdown …
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
"A growing interest in short-term time charters for use as floating storage has emerged in the past week. [Brent] flipped into contango, a market structure that allows traders to profit by hoarding oil." https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-05/virus-has-oil-traders-seeking-ships-to-hoard-unsold-crude-at-sea …
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
"Conoco managed to roughly balance all this, raising underlying production & shareholder payouts as well as replacing reserves, despite a 9.5% drop in average realized prices." --Liam Denning https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-02-04/conocophillips-earnings-forget-the-miss-mind-the-immune-system …
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
“The short-term damage to oil demand from China has already occurred...The upside potential may still depend on action from OPEC+.” --Ole Hansen, Saxo Bank https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-04/oil-extends-rout-as-rising-u-s-supplies-add-to-virus-worries …
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
"Instead of falling $550, we believe battery prices fell by less than $100 per kwh over last 7 years, after adjusting for plant utilization, pack size & chemical cost reduction." --Goehring & Rozencwajg https://cdn2.hubspot.net/hubfs/4043042/Commentaries/2019%20Q4%20Commentary/2019.Q4%20Goehring%20&%20Rozencwajg%20Market%20Commentary.pdf …
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECpic.twitter.com/3N8bCGFbC8
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"The base decline production rate for the Permian Basin has increased dramatically." --IHS Markit "By 2019, Tier 1 activity approached 75% of all drilling." --Goehring & Rozencwajg https://cdn2.hubspot.net/hubfs/4043042/Commentaries/2019%20Q4%20Commentary/2019.Q4%20Goehring%20&%20Rozencwajg%20Market%20Commentary.pdf …
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECpic.twitter.com/kxmeMyjklv
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"When a drilling retrenchment cycle forces you to drop rigs, the positive impact of high grading reverses itself, with significant negative impacts to production growth." --Goehring & Rozencwajg https://cdn2.hubspot.net/hubfs/4043042/Commentaries/2019%20Q4%20Commentary/2019.Q4%20Goehring%20&%20Rozencwajg%20Market%20Commentary.pdf …
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECpic.twitter.com/UaXToC98fy
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"Iowa Democratic Party officials said that they were already making great progress in counting the caucus results, and that early returns indicated that a white person had won."https://www.newyorker.com/humor/borowitz-report/florida-offers-to-help-iowa-count-caucus-votes …
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Chinese LNG importers consider invoking force majeure It’s not clear that just because you’ve got reduced demand you’ve got a case for force majeure.” --Frank Harris, Wood Mackenzie https://www.ft.com/content/5ad82068-4757-11ea-aeb3-955839e06441 …
#NaturalGas#shale#fintwit#oilandgaspic.twitter.com/cmjfcTVBrf
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U.S. Gulf Coast crack spread increased +$0.29 (+4%) on Monday, February 3. LLS price fell more than gasoline and diesel prices. Spreads have improved +$1.62 (+33%) over the last week.
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECpic.twitter.com/1WoaX42C35
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“Oil prices are now at levels where we would expect a supply response from both OPEC and shale producers, and where China would likely seek to build crude inventories.” --Goldman Sachs https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/oil-price-fundamental-daily-forecast-opec-considering-cutting-crude-output-an-additional-500000-bpd-630639 …
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
“If [OPEC+] believes...effects tapering out after a short period like SARS, they have option to stand pat & weather lower price environment...until demand returns.” --Harry Tchilinguirian, BNP Paribas https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-oil/oil-prices-rebound-on-hopes-for-opec-supply-cuts-idUSKBN1ZY07W …
#OOTT#oilandgas#oil#WTI#CrudeOil#fintwit#OPECHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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