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adamscrabble's profile
Adam Townsend
Adam Townsend
Adam Townsend
@adamscrabble

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Adam Townsend

@adamscrabble

Investor. Extreme salesman. Philanthropy, politics and policy. Better half is @nankoni

NYC
adamtownsend.me
Joined October 2010

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    Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

    Thread about China, Culture, Huawei, IP theft & 5g. You are about to become an expert and the life of any party (results may vary) Lets begin... U.S. goods & services trade w/China was $737b in 2018pic.twitter.com/DmpTU6Paua

    10:30 AM - 10 May 2019
    • 993 Retweets
    • 1,735 Likes
    • Kole ... Edwin Mejia Jr mari 🇧🇿 Ken Kleist IDK John Tess Pereira Andrei Palitsa
    113 replies 993 retweets 1,735 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        Exports were $179b. imports were $557b.

        2 replies 26 retweets 95 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        Our trade deficit with China is $378b

        2 replies 30 retweets 110 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        To resolve this generational and untreated deficit, in the summer of 2018, the President Trump initiated 25% tariffs on $15 billion in imports from China. China retaliated against US exports of agricultural and other products.

        2 replies 24 retweets 107 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        The US in September 2018 imposed 25% tariffs on second $35 billion in imports from China in response to China retaliation. China retaliated again.

        1 reply 20 retweets 95 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        US then imposed 10% tariffs on $200b in imports from China with a trigger of January 1, 2019 for tariffs to increase to 25%. They were granted an extension. The first 50b of the 200b is ‘Ad Valorem Duties’ - in proportion to the estimated value of the goods or transaction

        2 replies 22 retweets 89 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        concerned that resulted from IP theft. In February, 2019, the USTR granted a second suspension on any new China tariff hikes 'until further notice'. 🔥 intermission... the contestant got this wrongpic.twitter.com/yxTWFYBMhY

        4 replies 30 retweets 160 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        In Early March, 2019, notifying the world as only Trump can...with a tweet, the suspension was removed and tariffs were increased to 25% and a NEW 25% duty would be imposed on the remaining $325 billion worth of imports from China “shortly”.

        2 replies 22 retweets 108 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        The trade war has been yielding billions to the Treasury billions of dollars

        2 replies 40 retweets 137 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        Because of the existing US trade deficit the US could weather a trade war much better than China. We’ve got nowhere to go but up, China has nowhere to go but down. Now we are negotiating whether its a plunge or a trip.

        2 replies 87 retweets 262 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        301. You’ve heard of this, your about to find out what it is. Buckle up.

        2 replies 28 retweets 115 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        In August 14, 2017, President Trump instructed US Trade Representative Robert LIghthizer to  investigate under “section 301” several urgent issues:

        3 replies 37 retweets 124 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        (abbreviating) 1. Chinese government utilizing opaque & discretionary administrative approval processes, joint venture requirements & other mechanisms in order to require or pressure the transfer of technologies & IP to Chinese companies.

        3 replies 38 retweets 142 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        2. Policies and practices that deprive U.S.companies of the ability to set market-based terms in licensing and other technology related negotiations and undermine U.S. companies’ control over their technology in China.

        3 replies 33 retweets 127 likes
        Show this thread
      15. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        3. The Chinese government reportedly directs and/or unfairly facilitates the systematic investment in, and/or acquisition of, U.S. technology companies

        2 replies 40 retweets 141 likes
        Show this thread
      16. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        4. Determine if the Chinese government is conducting or supporting unauthorized intrusions into U.S. commercial computer networks or cyber enabled theft of IP, trade secrets, or confidential business information

        2 replies 33 retweets 129 likes
        Show this thread
      17. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        The report was completed In March, 2018. 🔥 intermission!pic.twitter.com/qLtNVJti1i

        2 replies 21 retweets 119 likes
        Show this thread
      18. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        The report lists ten IP Agreements the Chinese government signed from 2010 to 2016,

        1 reply 35 retweets 125 likes
        Show this thread
      19. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        All those agreements between the US and China were (drumroll) breached.

        4 replies 44 retweets 162 likes
        Show this thread
      20. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        China ignored its obligations and continued its cyber hacking to steal US IP. Its excuse has been that it is still a poor, developing country, and deserves a pass from its commitments. They challenged Bush and Obama. They won. They also bribed a lot of people, they won that too.

        11 replies 111 retweets 263 likes
        Show this thread
      21. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        They bribed Mitch McConnell and his wife, Cabinet member Elaine Chaohttps://theintercept.com/2018/02/05/mitch-mcconnell-elaine-chao-offshore-paradise-papers/ …

        6 replies 122 retweets 264 likes
        Show this thread
      22. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        And they enlisted DC mercenaries, China paid exorbitant fees, it was their war plan to attack from withinhttps://www.thedailybeast.com/meet-the-us-officials-who-now-lobby-for-china …

        5 replies 77 retweets 210 likes
        Show this thread
      23. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        IP theft and technology transfer, let’s delve… 🔥 intermission. Several major China cities have banned big dogs!pic.twitter.com/nkCGhlvBXo

        6 replies 26 retweets 118 likes
        Show this thread
      24. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        Calc’ing the value of IP is thorny. One way is to approximate what pilfered IP would take in the market. But this schema is tricky… If/when China steals IP and can’t figure out how to make a product with it, the loss from the theft is zero. If the calc is measured by competing

        2 replies 19 retweets 104 likes
        Show this thread
      25. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        products, and there aren’t any, the harm could be zero, there is likely no market for a square wheel.

        1 reply 15 retweets 96 likes
        Show this thread
      26. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        Stolen IP doesn't mean that the pilfer’d has lost the ability to make the product. What has happened is that it now faces a new competitor. China disregards its commitments to trade agmts and WTO obligations...and it cripples foreign competition...

        3 replies 28 retweets 137 likes
        Show this thread
      27. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        It has created a protected Chinese market, gives its internal companies subsidies for foreign sales & imposes NONTARIFF barriers to hobble American companies. It’s a logical strategy, but flouts the rules and it's been permitted, bribes do that.

        3 replies 40 retweets 167 likes
        Show this thread
      28. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        Stealing IP doesn't solve all of China’s schemes, they also need the technical and manufacturing proficiency to make the product. Here’s an example of that in motion: An airplane…

        2 replies 29 retweets 114 likes
        Show this thread
      29. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        China used to make crappy Russian airplanes from crappy factories. China wanted to change that and become ‘competitive’. China announced it wanted to buy billions in Western planes, the good stuff. Western firms rushed to sell it aircraft...HOWEVER...China required COproduction,

        1 reply 39 retweets 129 likes
        Show this thread
      30. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        Chinese companies must work w/Western aircraft firms to the pane and parts. This went on for 2 decades and it taught Chinese companies essential production know-how. This is ‘tech transfer’ - it’s not IP theft. The problem is not that China builds airplanes/parts, it IS that

        3 replies 40 retweets 148 likes
        Show this thread
      31. Adam Townsend‏ @adamscrabble May 10

        China uses its Gov subsidies and insists that its domestic airlines ‘buy Chinese’ and has installed barriers to foreign cos to gain an insurmountable advantage. 🔥 intermission. Vox investigates: Is it really fun to stay at the YMCA

        2 replies 32 retweets 185 likes
        Show this thread
      32. 57 more replies

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