Spicy take. I think ML won’t result in massive changes to our existing psychological ontology until more types of real-world data are collected (not just movie and shopping preferences). When they are, we’ll see a neobehaviorist revolution in social sci https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/593046v1 …https://twitter.com/talyarkoni/status/1222239972968804359 …
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If social sci is ultimately about prediction and modification of behavior (from level of atoms to groups), not joint-carving (which is for the philosophers), then it seems inevitable that ML will soon supersede top-down psych theorizing in this game.https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-40952-5 …
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Joint-carving (i.e., explicitly representing our model of the world) is only useful insofar as we need to grok these models. But for many use cases, this isn’t necessary. A black box gets the job done.
14:18 - 28. sij 2020.
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