The paper discussed in this thread is an important one and probably forms the most substantive empirical basis for arguing for the existence of no fault divorce laws.https://twitter.com/causalinf/status/998541523728912384 …
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However, it's not clear to me that a policy like no fault divorce which affects so many things can be assessed by means of one empirical metric (drop in female suicides). For example, it's well documented that divorce substantially increases the male suicide rate
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Given the already much higher baseline suicide rate for men, it's entirely possible that the post 70s divorce surge caused more suicides than it prevented.
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Similarly, how do we measure the impact of the increase in divorce on children? It's what makes discussions about tinkering with marriage so difficult.
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It also illustrates how inadequate the liberal, individualist framing of these policy decisions is. It's so much more complicated then "well let's just let people who are unhappy end their marriages and only the genuinely happy marriages will survive"
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