I think she's confusing the relative change in fertility within income groups (it's dropping faster for lower income women) with absolute numbers. Well educated women still have lower TFR and higher childlessness rates overall.https://twitter.com/CathyYoung63/status/1005366954381758464 …
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Replying to @ad_captandum2
Incorrect. https://www.statista.com/statistics/241519/birth-rate-by-educational-attainment-of-mother-in-the-united-states/ … Birth rates for women w/BA are very slightly lower than for those w/HS only (56 vs 53 per 1,000) but higher than for those w/some college (50) or no HS diploma (39). Highest is women w/graduate or professional degrees (63 per 1000).
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Replying to @CathyYoung63
But that just reflects the delay in childbearing. There's still an inverse correlation between educational attainment and TFR and a positive correlation between childlessness rate and educational attainment
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Replying to @CathyYoung63
Yes but we know that there is a general trend towards delaying childbearing, so it explains the increased share of the birth rate by women with postgraduate degrees. That doesn't change the fact that they have less kids overall (lower TFR)
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Replying to @ad_captandum2
Or, possibly, the trends are changing? If that was the only factor the new cohort of younger, less educated women would offset more births among older more educated ones. Also, is there any evidence these older educated women are having fewer children than they want?
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Replying to @CathyYoung63 @ad_captandum2
If anything your explanation suggests that delaying childbearing is not a problem
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Well it's a problem if it ends up lowering the total number of children that women will have over the course of their childbearing years. If your most fertile cohort is the 30-34 age group, then that seems likely to happen
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