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a_yawning_cat's profile
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@a_yawning_cat

stray thoughts, loosely held. rat jaeger.

California, USA
aycat.substack.com
Joined December 2018

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    1.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 23

      imagine a group of ppl feeling rich b/c they own meow-casso paintings. they have a 1M mortgage, 500K credit debt, but 5M in meow-casso paintings however... the paintings have massive volatility causing that portion of their assets to fluctuate 1M to 10M

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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    2.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 23

      when the painting price is high, the owner can take out debt and use it like cash using the asset as collateral when the painting price is low however, there is no way to take out more debt since the net worth is now negative this creates a state of No Money/Liquidity

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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       🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 23

      thus the owners of the paintings can agree to mutually collude on price. if the paintings are ONLY sold to each other at high price points, their net worth will remain permanently high and they can enjoy the liquidity from debt

      11:02 AM - 23 Jun 2021
      • 2 Likes
      • . ᴄʏʙᴇʀɴᴇᴛɪᴄ 💔 sᴜʀᴠᴇɪʟʟᴀɴᴛ
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 23

          if the narrative is robust enough and maintained over a long enough period it becomes canon. the high volatility is forgotten as demons fade into myth e.g. having a mountain of gold and cash is not particularly useful when watching a nuclear bomb fall into your neighborhood

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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        3.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 23

          while the meow-casso paintings work for a small individual of private rich folk who have the leverage to hamfist a narrative into the public consciousness, this mechanism also works for the masses. e.g. the housing bubble of 2008

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        4.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 23

          as long as everyone agrees that everyone else is rich, then everyone IS rich because there's no one to question the numbers the provider of liquidity however has to face reality. it can no longer provide money if the assets it has as collateral go down in value

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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        5.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 23

          although groups can collude (via delusion) to lie off of debt backed by assets, the centralized provider of liquidity HAS to diversity its assets if the bank ALSO is deluded and yolos everything into a high vol asset (instead of maintaining a reasonable allocation) then it dies

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        6.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 23

          centralized systems reduce friction but agglomerate failure points, "managing" the risk through size & complexity when they become "too big to fail" they HAVE to be bailed out. you cannot tell the heart "hey, bad job. stop pumping and reflect on your sins in the timeout corner"

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        7.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 23

          what happens in a liquidity crisis is that individuals no longer have "stuff" they can give others in order to facilitate trade the only thing they can give is an IOU of some sort but when trust/faith breaks down, they want sth that is NOT tied to the originator

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        8.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 23

           🐈 Retweeted  🐈

          drug dealers in a mexican standoff for e.g. want u.s. dollar because they embed a very difficult to counterfeit signature through its magnetic ink, watermarks, and affordances for blind people the "proof of value" is embedded. no counterparty riskhttps://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1407559445505216517?s=20 …

           🐈 added,

           🐈 @a_yawning_cat
          the u.s. dollar as cash ironically serves this purpose in many countries the fiat of the central gov is considered trash but the dollar, with all its fancy security threads and watermarks has enough embedded proof-of-work that it's valuable despite being centralized as well
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        9.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 23

          what this boils down to is that a centralized ledger is efficient because you don't have to move rai stones or ship gold around. however centralized ledgers are just numbers and those numbers can be gamed out of maliciousness or incompetence

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        10. End of conversation

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