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a_yawning_cat's profile
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@a_yawning_cat

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@a_yawning_cat

stray thoughts, loosely held. rat jaeger.

California, USA
aycat.substack.com
Joined December 2018

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    1.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 20

       🐈 Retweeted  🐈

      related to this is a misunderstanding of volatility. many imagine PRICE going up and down as volatility and think "yeah whatever that sounds easy" but forget that volatility always is due to new INFORMATIONhttps://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1393072212475670531 …

       🐈 added,

       🐈 @a_yawning_cat
      something that gets missed when experts say "no one knows in the short term but long term blah blah blah" is that no one knows in the short term. sure the WORDS are literally right there but the actual meaning is missed
      Show this thread
      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      Show this thread
    2. twisted mentat‏ @xnorcraft Jun 20
      Replying to @a_yawning_cat

      yes, which means that the flow of information is the basis of volatility, but what controls the flow of information?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 20
      Replying to @xnorcraft

      whoever has the megaphone "i can handle volatility" as naively presumed is akin to "i can handle extreme randomness" but b/c real world volatility always has some form of agency behind it, prepping for extreme randomness doesn't guard against the volatility of agency

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. twisted mentat‏ @xnorcraft Jun 20
      Replying to @a_yawning_cat

      Im not a prepper but id argue that preppers dont think of themselves as hedging randomness but hedging antagonistic agency. From the other side it looks random because of the relative lack of control

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
       🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat Jun 21
      Replying to @xnorcraft

      i dunno. my guess is most people who buy gold bricks are unaware that the point is to have the option run away to another country/area just like most gun owners are "unaware" that the point is to blow someone else's brain's out and kill a son or w/e if necessary

      12:03 AM - 21 Jun 2021
      • 1 Like
      • twisted mentat
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. twisted mentat‏ @xnorcraft Jun 21
          Replying to @a_yawning_cat

          Prepper people seem pretty commited to staying where they are imo. Im sure many have bugout plans, but even then wherever they're going is pretty much as stationary as where they're leaving. Also seems like they're very aware what the point of a gun is.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. twisted mentat‏ @xnorcraft Jun 21
          Replying to @xnorcraft @a_yawning_cat

          twisted mentat Retweeted twisted mentat

          https://twitter.com/xnorcraft/status/1383976283680378883 …

          twisted mentat added,

          twisted mentat @xnorcraft
          met a family at campsite preparing to chow down on MREs despite being less than a half mile from parking and they'd collected enough wood to burn for like a week, but they shared some tasty venison jerky so can't judge. kids looked bored af, devices must have run out of batteries
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies

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