if u r annoyed at "bayesian thinking" signaling and suspect that it's just big-brain-ai-adjacent posturing then here is a simplistic breakdown:
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which is y i feel like throwing up whenever "bayesian" posturing is used to signal "trust the expert, aka ME ME ME!!!" at its heart it's about thinking for yourself based on your own reality (which is the only reality you will ever have access to)
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so "don't trust yourself, trust MY reality, trust me i use bayesian blah blah blah" is like literally the opposite of the intended philosophy
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End of conversation
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